Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colchester United win with a probability of 51.55%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 24.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colchester United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.62%) and 2-0 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.61%), while for a Grimsby Town win it was 0-1 (7.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Colchester United would win this match.
