Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 51.64%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Walsall had a probability of 22.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.45%) and 2-1 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.25%), while for a Walsall win it was 0-1 (8.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.
