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Feb 18, 2023 at 3pm UK at Abbey Stadium
Cambridge
1 - 0
Oxford Utd
Jones (8')
Bennett (72'), Jones (83'), Ironside (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Baldock (29')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Cambridge United and Oxford United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cambridge 1-2 Cheltenham
Tuesday, February 14 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Oxford Utd 1-3 Plymouth
Tuesday, February 14 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Cambridge United 1-3 Oxford United

Whichever way you slice it, Cambridge have been one of the worst teams in League One this season, which naturally gives almost every opponent the edge. Oxford may not be purring themselves, but Robinson's side should have enough to extend Cambridge's woeful start to 2023 by ending their own run of poor form. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 47.14%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Cambridge United had a probability of 26.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.07%) and 0-2 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.51%), while for a Cambridge United win it was 1-0 (8.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.

Result
Cambridge UnitedDrawOxford United
26.41% (0.465 0.47) 26.44% (0.035 0.04) 47.14% (-0.503 -0.5)
Both teams to score 48.78% (0.267 0.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.7% (0.164 0.16)55.3% (-0.167 -0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.48% (0.136 0.14)76.52% (-0.139 -0.14)
Cambridge United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.73% (0.482 0.48)36.27% (-0.485 -0.48)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.94% (0.488 0.49)73.05% (-0.491 -0.49)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.54% (-0.16199999999999 -0.16)23.46% (0.159 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.53% (-0.235 -0.23)57.47% (0.231 0.23)
Score Analysis
    Cambridge United 26.41%
    Oxford United 47.14%
    Draw 26.44%
Cambridge UnitedDrawOxford United
1-0 @ 8.63% (0.058 0.06)
2-1 @ 6.34% (0.095000000000001 0.1)
2-0 @ 4.38% (0.086 0.09)
3-1 @ 2.15% (0.06 0.06)
3-2 @ 1.56% (0.036 0.04)
3-0 @ 1.48% (0.048 0.05)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 26.41%
1-1 @ 12.51% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 8.51% (-0.055000000000001 -0.06)
2-2 @ 4.6% (0.048 0.05)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 26.44%
0-1 @ 12.33% (-0.14 -0.14)
1-2 @ 9.07% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
0-2 @ 8.94% (-0.143 -0.14)
1-3 @ 4.38% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
0-3 @ 4.32% (-0.09 -0.09)
2-3 @ 2.22% (0.013 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.59% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1.57% (-0.04 -0.04)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 47.14%

How you voted: Cambridge vs Oxford Utd

Cambridge United
38.5%
Draw
7.7%
Oxford United
53.8%
13
Head to Head
Aug 6, 2022 3pm
Feb 26, 2022 3pm
Oxford Utd
4-2
Cambridge
Taylor (36'), Brannagan (64', 90'), Baldock (72')
Brannagan (9'), Whyte (45+1')
Smith (6', 56')
Brophy (10'), Dunk (21'), O'Neil (90+2')
Aug 31, 2021 7pm
Cambridge
4-1
Oxford Utd
Smith (45', 45+3'), Knibbs (80'), Yearn (90+2')
May (63')
Agyei (71')
Cooper (42'), Johnson (53')
McNally (45+1')
Aug 7, 2021 3pm
Cambridge
1-1
Oxford Utd
Ironside (78' pen.)
O'Neil (31')
Seddon (42')
Williams (30'), Seddon (88')
Jan 12, 2021 7pm
Third Round
Oxford Utd
1-0
Cambridge
Hall (74')
Kelly (90+2')

Davies (64'), Darling (73')
rhs 2.0
Todays Game Header Right
Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Plymouth ArgylePlymouth39258670422883
2Ipswich TownIpswich392312478314781
3Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds402312568323681
4Barnsley392361067363175
5Bolton WanderersBolton3919101053312267
6Peterborough UnitedPeterborough402141568472167
7Derby CountyDerby4019101161412067
8Wycombe WanderersWycombe401881453421162
9Portsmouth4016141055451062
10Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury39167164750-355
11Exeter CityExeter401411155852653
12Charlton AthleticCharlton401313145951852
13Fleetwood TownFleetwood401214144443150
14Lincoln CityLincoln391019103741-449
15Bristol Rovers38139165160-948
16Cheltenham TownCheltenham40129193451-1745
17Port Vale40129194060-2045
18Burton Albion38129174971-2245
19MK Dons40118213757-2041
20Oxford UnitedOxford Utd39912184050-1039
21Accrington StanleyAccrington39911193363-3038
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge39106233260-2836
23Morecambe41713213871-3334
24Forest Green RoversForest Green4068262974-4526

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