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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shrewsbury Town win with a probability of 45.6%. A win for Cambridge United had a probability of 27.7% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shrewsbury Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.94%) and 2-0 (8.59%). The likeliest Cambridge United win was 0-1 (8.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Shrewsbury Town would win this match.
Result | ||
Shrewsbury Town | Draw | Cambridge United |
45.6% ( -0.01) | 26.7% ( 0) | 27.7% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 48.97% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.48% ( -0.01) | 55.51% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.3% ( -0.01) | 76.69% ( 0.01) |
Shrewsbury Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.72% ( -0.01) | 24.28% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.35% ( -0.01) | 58.65% ( 0.02) |
Cambridge United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.67% ( -0) | 35.32% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.91% ( -0) | 72.08% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
Shrewsbury Town | Draw | Cambridge United |
1-0 @ 12.14% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.94% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.59% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.22% ( -0) 3-0 @ 4.05% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.2% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.49% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.43% ( -0) Other @ 2.53% Total : 45.6% | 1-1 @ 12.63% 0-0 @ 8.58% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.65% ( -0) Other @ 0.84% Total : 26.7% | 0-1 @ 8.93% ( 0) 1-2 @ 6.57% 0-2 @ 4.64% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.28% 2-3 @ 1.61% 0-3 @ 1.61% ( 0) Other @ 2.05% Total : 27.7% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 31 | 20 | 8 | 3 | 58 | 22 | 36 | 68 |
2 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 32 | 20 | 8 | 4 | 57 | 32 | 25 | 68 |
3 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 32 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 60 | 31 | 29 | 60 |
4 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 33 | 17 | 8 | 8 | 48 | 24 | 24 | 59 |
5 | Derby CountyDerby | 31 | 16 | 9 | 6 | 50 | 25 | 25 | 57 |
6 | Barnsley | 30 | 17 | 5 | 8 | 45 | 27 | 18 | 56 |
7 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 31 | 16 | 5 | 10 | 44 | 29 | 15 | 53 |
8 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 32 | 14 | 6 | 12 | 39 | 34 | 5 | 48 |
9 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 30 | 15 | 2 | 13 | 48 | 38 | 10 | 47 |
10 | Portsmouth | 30 | 10 | 12 | 8 | 37 | 36 | 1 | 42 |
11 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 31 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 45 | 43 | 2 | 40 |
12 | Port Vale | 33 | 11 | 7 | 15 | 33 | 47 | -14 | 40 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 32 | 9 | 12 | 11 | 35 | 34 | 1 | 39 |
14 | Exeter CityExeter | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | 42 | 43 | -1 | 39 |
15 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 30 | 8 | 15 | 7 | 29 | 31 | -2 | 39 |
16 | Bristol Rovers | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 44 | 55 | -11 | 38 |
17 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 36 | 41 | -5 | 36 |
18 | Burton Albion | 31 | 9 | 7 | 15 | 40 | 58 | -18 | 34 |
19 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 31 | 9 | 6 | 16 | 25 | 40 | -15 | 33 |
20 | Morecambe | 32 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 33 | 52 | -19 | 31 |
21 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 26 | 47 | -21 | 30 |
22 | MK Dons | 32 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 30 | 51 | -21 | 29 |
23 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 32 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 26 | 52 | -26 | 29 |
24 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 33 | 5 | 7 | 21 | 25 | 63 | -38 | 22 |
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