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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 49.47%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 25.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.37%) and 0-2 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.1%), while for a Shrewsbury Town win it was 1-0 (7.82%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Shrewsbury Town | Draw | Bolton Wanderers |
25.04% ( 0.04) | 25.48% ( 0.02) | 49.47% ( -0.06) |
Both teams to score 50.42% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.41% ( -0.04) | 52.58% ( 0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.76% ( -0.04) | 74.24% ( 0.03) |
Shrewsbury Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.04% ( 0.02) | 35.96% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.26% ( 0.02) | 72.73% ( -0.02) |
Bolton Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.72% ( -0.05) | 21.27% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.8% ( -0.07) | 54.19% ( 0.07) |
Score Analysis |
Shrewsbury Town | Draw | Bolton Wanderers |
1-0 @ 7.82% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 6.19% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 4% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.11% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.63% 3-0 @ 1.36% ( 0) Other @ 1.92% Total : 25.04% | 1-1 @ 12.1% 0-0 @ 7.65% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.79% Other @ 0.93% Total : 25.47% | 0-1 @ 11.83% 1-2 @ 9.37% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 9.16% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 4.84% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 4.73% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.47% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.87% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.83% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 0.96% ( -0) Other @ 2.41% Total : 49.46% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 43 | 28 | 8 | 7 | 76 | 46 | 30 | 92 |
2 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 43 | 26 | 13 | 4 | 90 | 33 | 57 | 91 |
3 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 44 | 26 | 12 | 6 | 77 | 37 | 40 | 90 |
4 | Barnsley | 43 | 26 | 7 | 10 | 76 | 38 | 38 | 85 |
5 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 43 | 21 | 12 | 10 | 57 | 33 | 24 | 75 |
6 | Derby CountyDerby | 44 | 21 | 12 | 11 | 66 | 44 | 22 | 75 |
7 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 44 | 23 | 4 | 17 | 73 | 54 | 19 | 73 |
8 | Portsmouth | 44 | 17 | 17 | 10 | 58 | 47 | 11 | 68 |
9 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 44 | 20 | 8 | 16 | 57 | 46 | 11 | 68 |
10 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 43 | 13 | 20 | 10 | 44 | 43 | 1 | 59 |
11 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 44 | 15 | 13 | 16 | 65 | 62 | 3 | 58 |
12 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 44 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 51 | 47 | 4 | 57 |
13 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 43 | 16 | 8 | 19 | 50 | 56 | -6 | 56 |
14 | Exeter CityExeter | 44 | 14 | 11 | 19 | 61 | 60 | 1 | 53 |
15 | Bristol Rovers | 42 | 14 | 10 | 18 | 55 | 66 | -11 | 52 |
16 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 43 | 13 | 11 | 19 | 40 | 55 | -15 | 50 |
17 | Port Vale | 44 | 13 | 10 | 21 | 45 | 65 | -20 | 49 |
18 | Burton Albion | 42 | 13 | 10 | 19 | 55 | 78 | -23 | 49 |
19 | MK Dons | 44 | 11 | 10 | 23 | 40 | 62 | -22 | 43 |
20 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 43 | 9 | 14 | 20 | 41 | 54 | -13 | 41 |
21 | Morecambe | 44 | 9 | 14 | 21 | 42 | 73 | -31 | 41 |
22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 43 | 11 | 7 | 25 | 37 | 66 | -29 | 40 |
23 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 43 | 9 | 11 | 23 | 36 | 74 | -38 | 38 |
R | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 44 | 6 | 9 | 29 | 31 | 84 | -53 | 27 |
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