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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 43.2%. A win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 30.05% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.78%) and 0-2 (7.93%). The likeliest Fleetwood Town win was 1-0 (9.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.
Result | ||
Fleetwood Town | Draw | Bolton Wanderers |
30.05% ( -0.09) | 26.75% ( 0.01) | 43.2% ( 0.08) |
Both teams to score 50.16% ( -0.08) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.37% ( -0.08) | 54.63% ( 0.08) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.03% ( -0.07) | 75.97% ( 0.07) |
Fleetwood Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.94% ( -0.1) | 33.06% ( 0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.35% ( -0.12) | 69.65% ( 0.12) |
Bolton Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.92% ( 0) | 25.08% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.24% ( 0) | 59.76% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
Fleetwood Town | Draw | Bolton Wanderers |
1-0 @ 9.18% ( 0) 2-1 @ 7.03% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 5.08% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 2.59% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.87% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.79% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.51% Total : 30.05% | 1-1 @ 12.69% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.29% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 4.86% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.91% Total : 26.75% | 0-1 @ 11.46% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 8.78% ( 0) 0-2 @ 7.93% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 4.05% ( 0) 0-3 @ 3.66% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.24% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.4% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.27% ( 0) Other @ 2.41% Total : 43.19% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 6 |
2 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 6 |
3 | Stevenage | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 6 |
4 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 |
5 | Barnsley | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 4 |
6 | Portsmouth | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 4 |
7 | Exeter CityExeter | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 4 |
8 | Blackpool | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 |
9 | Derby CountyDerby | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
10 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
11 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
12 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 3 |
13 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 3 |
14 | Port Vale | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | -6 | 3 |
15 | Bristol Rovers | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
16 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 1 |
17 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 1 |
18 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 0 |
19 | Reading | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 0 |
20 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -4 | 0 |
21 | Burton Albion | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | -5 | 0 |
22 | Leyton Orient | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | -5 | 0 |
23 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | -6 | 0 |
24 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | -2 |
> League One Full Table |