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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fleetwood Town win with a probability of 41.29%. A win for Forest Green Rovers had a probability of 33.08% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fleetwood Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.79%) and 2-0 (6.93%). The likeliest Forest Green Rovers win was 0-1 (8.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Fleetwood Town | Draw | Forest Green Rovers |
41.29% ( -0.38) | 25.62% ( 0.08) | 33.08% ( 0.3) |
Both teams to score 54.93% ( -0.18) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.97% ( -0.27) | 49.02% ( 0.27) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.89% ( -0.25) | 71.1% ( 0.25) |
Fleetwood Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.45% ( -0.31) | 23.55% ( 0.31) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.4% ( -0.45) | 57.6% ( 0.45) |
Forest Green Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.85% ( 0.06) | 28.15% ( -0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.16% ( 0.07) | 63.84% ( -0.07) |
Score Analysis |
Fleetwood Town | Draw | Forest Green Rovers |
1-0 @ 9.59% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.79% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 6.93% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 4.24% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 3.34% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 2.69% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 1.53% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 1.21% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 0.97% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.01% Total : 41.29% | 1-1 @ 12.15% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 6.63% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 5.57% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.62% | 0-1 @ 8.4% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 7.7% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 5.33% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 3.25% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.35% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.25% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 1.03% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.77% Total : 33.08% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 42 | 27 | 8 | 7 | 73 | 45 | 28 | 89 |
2 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 42 | 25 | 13 | 4 | 87 | 33 | 54 | 88 |
3 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 43 | 25 | 12 | 6 | 75 | 36 | 39 | 87 |
4 | Barnsley | 42 | 25 | 7 | 10 | 74 | 38 | 36 | 82 |
5 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 43 | 23 | 4 | 16 | 73 | 51 | 22 | 73 |
6 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 42 | 20 | 12 | 10 | 56 | 33 | 23 | 72 |
7 | Derby CountyDerby | 43 | 20 | 12 | 11 | 65 | 44 | 21 | 72 |
8 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 43 | 20 | 8 | 15 | 57 | 44 | 13 | 68 |
9 | Portsmouth | 43 | 16 | 17 | 10 | 57 | 47 | 10 | 65 |
10 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 43 | 15 | 13 | 15 | 63 | 59 | 4 | 58 |
11 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 42 | 12 | 20 | 10 | 42 | 43 | -1 | 56 |
12 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 42 | 16 | 8 | 18 | 50 | 55 | -5 | 56 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 43 | 13 | 15 | 15 | 50 | 47 | 3 | 54 |
14 | Exeter CityExeter | 43 | 14 | 11 | 18 | 60 | 58 | 2 | 53 |
15 | Bristol Rovers | 41 | 14 | 10 | 17 | 55 | 64 | -9 | 52 |
16 | Burton Albion | 41 | 13 | 10 | 18 | 55 | 77 | -22 | 49 |
17 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 42 | 12 | 11 | 19 | 37 | 54 | -17 | 47 |
18 | Port Vale | 43 | 12 | 10 | 21 | 43 | 65 | -22 | 46 |
19 | MK Dons | 43 | 11 | 10 | 22 | 40 | 61 | -21 | 43 |
20 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 42 | 9 | 14 | 19 | 41 | 52 | -11 | 41 |
21 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 42 | 11 | 7 | 24 | 36 | 63 | -27 | 40 |
22 | Morecambe | 43 | 8 | 14 | 21 | 39 | 71 | -32 | 38 |
23 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 42 | 9 | 11 | 22 | 36 | 73 | -37 | 38 |
R | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 43 | 6 | 9 | 28 | 30 | 81 | -51 | 27 |
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