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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sheffield Wednesday win with a probability of 75.96%. A draw had a probability of 15.7% and a win for Cambridge United had a probability of 8.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sheffield Wednesday win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.29%) and 3-0 (10.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.45%), while for a Cambridge United win it was 0-1 (3.11%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sheffield Wednesday would win this match.
Result | ||
Sheffield Wednesday | Draw | Cambridge United |
75.96% ( -0.04) | 15.67% ( 0) | 8.37% ( 0.03) |
Both teams to score 43.87% ( 0.14) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.88% ( 0.1) | 41.12% ( -0.1) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.49% ( 0.11) | 63.51% ( -0.11) |
Sheffield Wednesday Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.88% ( 0.02) | 9.12% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
69.04% ( 0.04) | 30.96% ( -0.04) |
Cambridge United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
48.27% ( 0.15) | 51.73% ( -0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
14.17% ( 0.1) | 85.82% ( -0.1) |
Score Analysis |
Sheffield Wednesday | Draw | Cambridge United |
2-0 @ 13.52% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 11.29% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 10.79% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 8.92% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 7.12% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 6.47% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 4.26% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 3.1% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.35% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 2.04% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.41% ( 0.01) 6-0 @ 1.24% Other @ 3.45% Total : 75.94% | 1-1 @ 7.45% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.72% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 2.94% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.57% Total : 15.67% | 0-1 @ 3.11% ( -0) 1-2 @ 2.45% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 1.03% ( 0) Other @ 1.78% Total : 8.37% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 31 | 20 | 8 | 3 | 58 | 22 | 36 | 68 |
2 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 32 | 20 | 8 | 4 | 57 | 32 | 25 | 68 |
3 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 32 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 60 | 31 | 29 | 60 |
4 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 33 | 17 | 8 | 8 | 48 | 24 | 24 | 59 |
5 | Derby CountyDerby | 31 | 16 | 9 | 6 | 50 | 25 | 25 | 57 |
6 | Barnsley | 30 | 17 | 5 | 8 | 45 | 27 | 18 | 56 |
7 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 31 | 16 | 5 | 10 | 44 | 29 | 15 | 53 |
8 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 32 | 14 | 6 | 12 | 39 | 34 | 5 | 48 |
9 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 30 | 15 | 2 | 13 | 48 | 38 | 10 | 47 |
10 | Portsmouth | 30 | 10 | 12 | 8 | 37 | 36 | 1 | 42 |
11 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 31 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 45 | 43 | 2 | 40 |
12 | Port Vale | 32 | 11 | 7 | 14 | 33 | 46 | -13 | 40 |
13 | Exeter CityExeter | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | 42 | 43 | -1 | 39 |
14 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 30 | 8 | 15 | 7 | 29 | 31 | -2 | 39 |
15 | Bristol Rovers | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 44 | 55 | -11 | 38 |
16 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 31 | 8 | 12 | 11 | 34 | 34 | 0 | 36 |
17 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 36 | 41 | -5 | 36 |
18 | Burton Albion | 31 | 9 | 7 | 15 | 40 | 58 | -18 | 34 |
19 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 31 | 9 | 6 | 16 | 25 | 40 | -15 | 33 |
20 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 26 | 47 | -21 | 30 |
21 | MK Dons | 32 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 30 | 51 | -21 | 29 |
22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 31 | 8 | 5 | 18 | 26 | 51 | -25 | 29 |
23 | Morecambe | 31 | 6 | 10 | 15 | 32 | 52 | -20 | 28 |
24 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 33 | 5 | 7 | 21 | 25 | 63 | -38 | 22 |
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