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League One | Gameweek 20
Dec 3, 2022 at 12.30pm UK
Pride Park Stadium
Sheffield Wednesday logo
Derby
0 - 0
Sheff Weds

Dobbin (52'), Bird (64')
FT
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Derby County and Sheffield Wednesday, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Derby County 1-2 Sheffield Wednesday

Derby County look to be improving under Paul Warne and they do possess quality, but we see the visitors being slightly too strong and extending their dominant run of form with a narrow away win at the weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 40.49%. A win for Sheffield Wednesday had a probability of 34.27% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.73%) and 2-0 (6.57%). The likeliest Sheffield Wednesday win was 0-1 (8.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.

Result
Derby CountyDrawSheffield Wednesday
40.49% (0.674 0.67) 25.25% (-0.15 -0.15) 34.27% (-0.523 -0.52)
Both teams to score 56.52% (0.409 0.41)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.89% (0.57700000000001 0.58)47.11% (-0.575 -0.58)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.65% (0.534 0.53)69.35% (-0.533 -0.53)
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.89% (0.596 0.6)23.11% (-0.596 -0.6)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.04% (0.863 0.86)56.96% (-0.862 -0.86)
Sheffield Wednesday Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.5% (-0.036999999999992 -0.04)26.5% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.31% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)61.69% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Derby County 40.49%
    Sheffield Wednesday 34.27%
    Draw 25.25%
Derby CountyDrawSheffield Wednesday
1-0 @ 8.97% (-0.058 -0.06)
2-1 @ 8.73% (0.086 0.09)
2-0 @ 6.57% (0.073 0.07)
3-1 @ 4.26% (0.115 0.11)
3-0 @ 3.21% (0.09 0.09)
3-2 @ 2.83% (0.074 0.07)
4-1 @ 1.56% (0.069 0.07)
4-0 @ 1.18% (0.053 0.05)
4-2 @ 1.04% (0.045 0.04)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 40.49%
1-1 @ 11.91% (-0.09 -0.09)
0-0 @ 6.12% (-0.149 -0.15)
2-2 @ 5.8% (0.051 0.05)
3-3 @ 1.25% (0.032 0.03)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.25%
0-1 @ 8.13% (-0.206 -0.21)
1-2 @ 7.91% (-0.068000000000001 -0.07)
0-2 @ 5.4% (-0.144 -0.14)
1-3 @ 3.5% (-0.034 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.57% (0.02 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.39% (-0.066 -0.07)
1-4 @ 1.16% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 34.27%

How you voted: Derby vs Sheff Weds

Derby County
51.9%
Draw
11.1%
Sheffield Wednesday
37.0%
27
Head to Head
May 8, 2021 12.30pm
Derby
3-3
Sheff Weds
Waghorn (49', 78' pen.), Roberts (52')
Kazim-Richards (60'), Jozwiak (76'), Ebosele (86')
Hutchinson (45+3'), Paterson (62'), Borner (69')
Bannan (45+1'), Dunkley (77'), Harris (90+5')
Jan 1, 2021 5.30pm
Dec 11, 2019 7.45pm
Derby
1-1
Sheff Weds
Martin (82' pen.)
Evans (25'), Knight (50'), Lawrence (83')
Fletcher (23')
Reach (11'), Odubajo (66'), Hutchinson (83'), Nuhiu (95')
Odubajo (90')
Mar 9, 2019 3pm
Derby
1-1
Sheff Weds
Johnson (10')
Bogle (43'), Holmes (45')
Iorfa (57')
Reach (27'), Palmer (91'), Winnall (94')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CPlymouth ArgylePlymouth463187824735101
3Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds462812681374496
4Barnsley462681280473386
5Bolton WanderersBolton4623121162362681
6Peterborough UnitedPeterborough462451775542177
7Derby CountyDerby4621131267462176
8Portsmouth4617191061501170
9Wycombe WanderersWycombe46209175951869
10Charlton AthleticCharlton461614167066462
11Lincoln CityLincoln461420124747062
12Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury46178215261-959
13Fleetwood TownFleetwood461416165351258
14Exeter CityExeter461511206468-456
15Burton Albion461511205779-2256
16Cheltenham TownCheltenham461412204561-1654
17Bristol Rovers461411215873-1553
18Port Vale461310234871-2349
19Oxford UnitedOxford Utd461114214956-747
20Cambridge UnitedCambridge46137264168-2746
RMK Dons461112234466-2245
22Morecambe461014224778-3144
RAccrington StanleyAccrington461111244077-3744
RForest Green RoversForest Green4669313189-5827

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