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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 40.49%. A win for Sheffield Wednesday had a probability of 34.27% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.73%) and 2-0 (6.57%). The likeliest Sheffield Wednesday win was 0-1 (8.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Derby County | Draw | Sheffield Wednesday |
40.49% ( 0.67) | 25.25% ( -0.15) | 34.27% ( -0.52) |
Both teams to score 56.52% ( 0.41) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.89% ( 0.58) | 47.11% ( -0.58) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.65% ( 0.53) | 69.35% ( -0.53) |
Derby County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.89% ( 0.6) | 23.11% ( -0.6) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.04% ( 0.86) | 56.96% ( -0.86) |
Sheffield Wednesday Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.5% ( -0.04) | 26.5% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.31% ( -0.05) | 61.69% ( 0.05) |
Score Analysis |
Derby County | Draw | Sheffield Wednesday |
1-0 @ 8.97% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 8.73% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 6.57% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 4.26% ( 0.11) 3-0 @ 3.21% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 2.83% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 1.56% ( 0.07) 4-0 @ 1.18% ( 0.05) 4-2 @ 1.04% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.14% Total : 40.49% | 1-1 @ 11.91% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 6.12% ( -0.15) 2-2 @ 5.8% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 1.25% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.25% | 0-1 @ 8.13% ( -0.21) 1-2 @ 7.91% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 5.4% ( -0.14) 1-3 @ 3.5% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.57% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 2.39% ( -0.07) 1-4 @ 1.16% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.2% Total : 34.27% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 46 | 31 | 8 | 7 | 82 | 47 | 35 | 101 |
P | Ipswich TownIpswich | 46 | 28 | 14 | 4 | 101 | 35 | 66 | 98 |
3 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 46 | 28 | 12 | 6 | 81 | 37 | 44 | 96 |
4 | Barnsley | 46 | 26 | 8 | 12 | 80 | 47 | 33 | 86 |
5 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 46 | 23 | 12 | 11 | 62 | 36 | 26 | 81 |
6 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 46 | 24 | 5 | 17 | 75 | 54 | 21 | 77 |
7 | Derby CountyDerby | 46 | 21 | 13 | 12 | 67 | 46 | 21 | 76 |
8 | Portsmouth | 46 | 17 | 19 | 10 | 61 | 50 | 11 | 70 |
9 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 59 | 51 | 8 | 69 |
10 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 46 | 16 | 14 | 16 | 70 | 66 | 4 | 62 |
11 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 46 | 14 | 20 | 12 | 47 | 47 | 0 | 62 |
12 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 46 | 17 | 8 | 21 | 52 | 61 | -9 | 59 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 46 | 14 | 16 | 16 | 53 | 51 | 2 | 58 |
14 | Exeter CityExeter | 46 | 15 | 11 | 20 | 64 | 68 | -4 | 56 |
15 | Burton Albion | 46 | 15 | 11 | 20 | 57 | 79 | -22 | 56 |
16 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 46 | 14 | 12 | 20 | 45 | 61 | -16 | 54 |
17 | Bristol Rovers | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 58 | 73 | -15 | 53 |
18 | Port Vale | 46 | 13 | 10 | 23 | 48 | 71 | -23 | 49 |
19 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 46 | 11 | 14 | 21 | 49 | 56 | -7 | 47 |
20 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 46 | 13 | 7 | 26 | 41 | 68 | -27 | 46 |
R | MK Dons | 46 | 11 | 12 | 23 | 44 | 66 | -22 | 45 |
22 | Morecambe | 46 | 10 | 14 | 22 | 47 | 78 | -31 | 44 |
R | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 46 | 11 | 11 | 24 | 40 | 77 | -37 | 44 |
R | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 46 | 6 | 9 | 31 | 31 | 89 | -58 | 27 |
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