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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 42.06%. A draw had a probability of 29.5% and a win for Sheffield Wednesday had a probability of 28.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.56%) and 1-2 (7.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.27%), while for a Sheffield Wednesday win it was 1-0 (11.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Sheffield Wednesday | Draw | Derby County |
28.42% | 29.51% | 42.06% |
Both teams to score 41.87% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
35.31% | 64.69% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
16.32% | 83.67% |
Sheffield Wednesday Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.21% | 39.79% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.54% | 76.46% |
Derby County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.53% | 30.46% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.32% | 66.67% |
Score Analysis |
Sheffield Wednesday | Draw | Derby County |
1-0 @ 11.17% 2-1 @ 6.12% 2-0 @ 5.15% 3-1 @ 1.88% 3-0 @ 1.58% 3-2 @ 1.12% Other @ 1.41% Total : 28.42% | 1-1 @ 13.27% 0-0 @ 12.12% 2-2 @ 3.64% Other @ 0.47% Total : 29.5% | 0-1 @ 14.4% 0-2 @ 8.56% 1-2 @ 7.89% 0-3 @ 3.39% 1-3 @ 3.13% 2-3 @ 1.44% 0-4 @ 1.01% 1-4 @ 0.93% Other @ 1.3% Total : 42.05% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Burnley | 45 | 28 | 14 | 3 | 84 | 35 | 49 | 98 |
P | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 45 | 27 | 7 | 11 | 71 | 38 | 33 | 88 |
3 | Luton TownLuton | 45 | 21 | 16 | 8 | 57 | 39 | 18 | 79 |
4 | Middlesbrough | 45 | 22 | 8 | 15 | 83 | 55 | 28 | 74 |
5 | Coventry CityCoventry | 45 | 18 | 15 | 12 | 57 | 45 | 12 | 69 |
6 | Millwall | 45 | 19 | 11 | 15 | 54 | 46 | 8 | 68 |
7 | Sunderland | 45 | 17 | 15 | 13 | 65 | 55 | 10 | 66 |
8 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 45 | 18 | 12 | 15 | 57 | 50 | 7 | 66 |
9 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 45 | 19 | 9 | 17 | 48 | 51 | -3 | 66 |
10 | Swansea CitySwansea | 45 | 17 | 12 | 16 | 65 | 62 | 3 | 63 |
11 | Preston North EndPreston | 45 | 17 | 12 | 16 | 45 | 56 | -11 | 63 |
12 | Norwich CityNorwich | 45 | 17 | 11 | 17 | 57 | 53 | 4 | 62 |
13 | Watford | 45 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 54 | 53 | 1 | 60 |
14 | Hull City | 45 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 51 | 61 | -10 | 57 |
15 | Bristol City | 45 | 14 | 14 | 17 | 53 | 56 | -3 | 56 |
16 | Stoke CityStoke | 45 | 14 | 11 | 20 | 55 | 52 | 3 | 53 |
17 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 45 | 14 | 11 | 20 | 46 | 56 | -10 | 53 |
18 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 45 | 13 | 11 | 21 | 45 | 62 | -17 | 50 |
19 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 45 | 13 | 11 | 21 | 44 | 69 | -25 | 50 |
20 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 45 | 11 | 16 | 18 | 49 | 60 | -11 | 49 |
21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 45 | 13 | 10 | 22 | 41 | 55 | -14 | 49 |
R | Reading | 45 | 13 | 11 | 21 | 46 | 66 | -20 | 44 |
R | Blackpool | 45 | 10 | 11 | 24 | 47 | 72 | -25 | 41 |
R | Wigan AthleticWigan | 45 | 10 | 14 | 21 | 38 | 65 | -27 | 41 |
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