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Feb 11, 2023 at 3pm UK at Stadium mk
MK Dons
1 - 1
Oxford Utd
Kaikai (25')
Maghoma (53')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Bate (71')
Fleming (13'), Brannagan (59')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between MK Dons and Oxford United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bristol Rovers 0-2 MK Dons
Saturday, February 4 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Oxford Utd 0-1 Shrewsbury
Saturday, February 4 at 3pm in League One

We said: MK Dons 0-2 Oxford United

We believe that Oxford will put an end to the poor form that they have suffered as of late and will find a more clinical edge to their performance as they have not suffered from a lack of ability to create goalscoring situations. MK Dons will set up well, however, a lack of ability to highly threaten Oxford's goal could leave them unstuck in this contest and therefore we think that this contest will end 2-0 in the away side's favour. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 43.13%. A win for Oxford United had a probability of 31.04% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.94%) and 2-0 (7.48%). The likeliest Oxford United win was 0-1 (8.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.

Result
MK DonsDrawOxford United
43.13% (-0.035000000000004 -0.04) 25.83% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01) 31.04% (0.044 0.04)
Both teams to score 53.49% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.45% (0.045000000000002 0.05)50.55% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.53% (0.038999999999998 0.04)72.47% (-0.040000000000006 -0.04)
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.69% (0.0030000000000001 0)23.31% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.75% (0.0040000000000049 0)57.25% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.74% (0.051999999999992 0.05)30.26% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.57% (0.063000000000002 0.06)66.43% (-0.063999999999993 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    MK Dons 43.13%
    Oxford United 31.04%
    Draw 25.82%
MK DonsDrawOxford United
1-0 @ 10.27% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.94% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
2-0 @ 7.48% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.34% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 3.63% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.59% (0.0029999999999997 0)
4-1 @ 1.58%
4-0 @ 1.32% (-0.002 -0)
4-2 @ 0.95% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 43.13%
1-1 @ 12.27% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.05% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.34% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.03% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.82%
0-1 @ 8.43% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-2 @ 7.34% (0.008 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.04% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 2.93% (0.008 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.13% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.01% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 31.04%

How you voted: MK Dons vs Oxford Utd

MK Dons
11.1%
Draw
22.2%
Oxford United
66.7%
9
Head to Head
Sep 17, 2022 3pm
Oxford Utd
1-2
MK Dons
Mousinho (89')
Smith (44'), Grigg (84' pen.)
McEachran (59')
Apr 19, 2022 7.45pm
Oxford Utd
1-0
MK Dons
Bodin (86')
McNally (43'), Taylor (90+1'), (90+3'), Brannagan (90+5')
Dec 11, 2021 3pm
MK Dons
1-2
Oxford Utd
Boateng (11')
McEachran (90+2')
Taylor (65'), Sykes (79')
Henry (42'), Thorniley (70'), Sykes (80'), Long (90+2')
Thorniley (90+7')
Feb 27, 2021 3pm
MK Dons
1-1
Oxford Utd
Surman (13')
Mason (48'), Fisher (84'), Gladwin (90'), Laird (90+3')
Lee (90+7')
Oct 20, 2020 7pm
Oxford Utd
3-2
MK Dons
Taylor (6'), Long (58'), Shodipo (88')
Henry (45+4'), Taylor (82')
Jerome (11'), Gladwin (90+2')
Kasumu (19'), Houghton (37'), Lewington (74')
rhs 2.0
Todays Game Header Right
Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds35239362233978
2Plymouth ArgylePlymouth37238665412477
3Ipswich TownIpswich372112472314175
4Barnsley35216856292769
5Derby CountyDerby371810959372264
6Bolton WanderersBolton3818101052312164
7Peterborough UnitedPeterborough371931563471660
8Wycombe WanderersWycombe371861350351560
9Portsmouth371512105142957
10Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury37167144741655
11Charlton AthleticCharlton371212135249348
12Fleetwood TownFleetwood371113133938146
13Exeter CityExeter361210144848046
14Bristol Rovers37129165060-1045
15Lincoln CityLincoln3691893338-545
16Port Vale37128173853-1544
17Cheltenham TownCheltenham37127183247-1543
18Burton Albion36118174770-2341
19Oxford UnitedOxford Utd37910183949-1037
20MK Dons37106213354-2136
21Accrington StanleyAccrington36811173056-2635
22Morecambe38713183762-2534
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge3786232859-3130
24Forest Green RoversForest Green3758242871-4323

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