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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 43.13%. A win for Oxford United had a probability of 31.04% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.94%) and 2-0 (7.48%). The likeliest Oxford United win was 0-1 (8.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
MK Dons | Draw | Oxford United |
43.13% ( -0.04) | 25.83% ( -0.01) | 31.04% ( 0.04) |
Both teams to score 53.49% ( 0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.45% ( 0.05) | 50.55% ( -0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.53% ( 0.04) | 72.47% ( -0.04) |
MK Dons Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.69% ( 0) | 23.31% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.75% ( 0) | 57.25% ( -0.01) |
Oxford United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.74% ( 0.05) | 30.26% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.57% ( 0.06) | 66.43% ( -0.06) |
Score Analysis |
MK Dons | Draw | Oxford United |
1-0 @ 10.27% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.94% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.48% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.34% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.63% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.59% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.58% 4-0 @ 1.32% ( -0) 4-2 @ 0.95% ( 0) Other @ 2.03% Total : 43.13% | 1-1 @ 12.27% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.05% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.34% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.03% ( 0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.82% | 0-1 @ 8.43% ( -0) 1-2 @ 7.34% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 5.04% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.93% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.13% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.01% ( 0) Other @ 3.17% Total : 31.04% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 35 | 23 | 9 | 3 | 62 | 23 | 39 | 78 |
2 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 37 | 23 | 8 | 6 | 65 | 41 | 24 | 77 |
3 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 37 | 21 | 12 | 4 | 72 | 31 | 41 | 75 |
4 | Barnsley | 35 | 21 | 6 | 8 | 56 | 29 | 27 | 69 |
5 | Derby CountyDerby | 37 | 18 | 10 | 9 | 59 | 37 | 22 | 64 |
6 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 38 | 18 | 10 | 10 | 52 | 31 | 21 | 64 |
7 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 37 | 19 | 3 | 15 | 63 | 47 | 16 | 60 |
8 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 37 | 18 | 6 | 13 | 50 | 35 | 15 | 60 |
9 | Portsmouth | 37 | 15 | 12 | 10 | 51 | 42 | 9 | 57 |
10 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 37 | 16 | 7 | 14 | 47 | 41 | 6 | 55 |
11 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 37 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 52 | 49 | 3 | 48 |
12 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 37 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 39 | 38 | 1 | 46 |
13 | Exeter CityExeter | 36 | 12 | 10 | 14 | 48 | 48 | 0 | 46 |
14 | Bristol Rovers | 37 | 12 | 9 | 16 | 50 | 60 | -10 | 45 |
15 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 36 | 9 | 18 | 9 | 33 | 38 | -5 | 45 |
16 | Port Vale | 37 | 12 | 8 | 17 | 38 | 53 | -15 | 44 |
17 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 37 | 12 | 7 | 18 | 32 | 47 | -15 | 43 |
18 | Burton Albion | 36 | 11 | 8 | 17 | 47 | 70 | -23 | 41 |
19 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 37 | 9 | 10 | 18 | 39 | 49 | -10 | 37 |
20 | MK Dons | 37 | 10 | 6 | 21 | 33 | 54 | -21 | 36 |
21 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 36 | 8 | 11 | 17 | 30 | 56 | -26 | 35 |
22 | Morecambe | 38 | 7 | 13 | 18 | 37 | 62 | -25 | 34 |
23 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 37 | 8 | 6 | 23 | 28 | 59 | -31 | 30 |
24 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 37 | 5 | 8 | 24 | 28 | 71 | -43 | 23 |
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