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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 52.01%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Oxford United had a probability of 23.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.67%) and 0-2 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.45%), while for a Oxford United win it was 1-0 (6.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Oxford United | Draw | Ipswich Town |
23.85% ( 0.09) | 24.13% ( -0.01) | 52.01% ( -0.09) |
Both teams to score 53.34% ( 0.14) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.87% ( 0.13) | 48.13% ( -0.13) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.71% ( 0.12) | 70.29% ( -0.12) |
Oxford United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.43% ( 0.16) | 34.57% ( -0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.71% ( 0.17) | 71.29% ( -0.16) |
Ipswich Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.52% ( 0.02) | 18.48% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.31% ( 0.03) | 49.69% ( -0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Oxford United | Draw | Ipswich Town |
1-0 @ 6.79% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 6.09% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 3.61% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.16% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.82% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 1.28% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.12% Total : 23.85% | 1-1 @ 11.45% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.39% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.14% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.02% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.12% | 0-1 @ 10.78% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 9.67% ( -0) 0-2 @ 9.11% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 5.44% ( 0) 0-3 @ 5.12% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.89% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 2.3% ( 0) 0-4 @ 2.16% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.22% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.31% Total : 52.01% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 31 | 20 | 8 | 3 | 58 | 22 | 36 | 68 |
2 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 32 | 20 | 8 | 4 | 57 | 32 | 25 | 68 |
3 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 32 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 60 | 31 | 29 | 60 |
4 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 33 | 17 | 8 | 8 | 48 | 24 | 24 | 59 |
5 | Derby CountyDerby | 31 | 16 | 9 | 6 | 50 | 25 | 25 | 57 |
6 | Barnsley | 30 | 17 | 5 | 8 | 45 | 27 | 18 | 56 |
7 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 31 | 16 | 5 | 10 | 44 | 29 | 15 | 53 |
8 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 32 | 14 | 6 | 12 | 39 | 34 | 5 | 48 |
9 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 30 | 15 | 2 | 13 | 48 | 38 | 10 | 47 |
10 | Portsmouth | 30 | 10 | 12 | 8 | 37 | 36 | 1 | 42 |
11 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 31 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 45 | 43 | 2 | 40 |
12 | Port Vale | 33 | 11 | 7 | 15 | 33 | 47 | -14 | 40 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 32 | 9 | 12 | 11 | 35 | 34 | 1 | 39 |
14 | Exeter CityExeter | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | 42 | 43 | -1 | 39 |
15 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 30 | 8 | 15 | 7 | 29 | 31 | -2 | 39 |
16 | Bristol Rovers | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 44 | 55 | -11 | 38 |
17 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 36 | 41 | -5 | 36 |
18 | Burton Albion | 31 | 9 | 7 | 15 | 40 | 58 | -18 | 34 |
19 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 31 | 9 | 6 | 16 | 25 | 40 | -15 | 33 |
20 | Morecambe | 32 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 33 | 52 | -19 | 31 |
21 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 26 | 47 | -21 | 30 |
22 | MK Dons | 32 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 30 | 51 | -21 | 29 |
23 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 32 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 26 | 52 | -26 | 29 |
24 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 33 | 5 | 7 | 21 | 25 | 63 | -38 | 22 |
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