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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 66.03%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Oxford United had a probability of 13.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.36%) and 2-1 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.66%), while for a Oxford United win it was 0-1 (4.82%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ipswich Town would win this match.
Result | ||
Ipswich Town | Draw | Oxford United |
66.03% ( -0) | 20.33% ( -0) | 13.65% ( 0) |
Both teams to score 46.9% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.72% ( 0.01) | 47.28% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.49% ( 0.01) | 69.51% ( -0.01) |
Ipswich Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.53% ( 0) | 13.46% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.54% ( 0) | 40.46% ( -0) |
Oxford United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
54.19% ( 0.02) | 45.8% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
18.43% ( 0.01) | 81.57% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Ipswich Town | Draw | Oxford United |
2-0 @ 12.39% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 12.36% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.68% ( 0) 3-0 @ 8.29% ( -0) 3-1 @ 6.47% ( 0) 4-0 @ 4.15% ( -0) 4-1 @ 3.24% 3-2 @ 2.53% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.67% 5-1 @ 1.3% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.27% ( 0) Other @ 2.67% Total : 66.01% | 1-1 @ 9.66% 0-0 @ 6.17% ( -0) 2-2 @ 3.78% ( 0) Other @ 0.73% Total : 20.33% | 0-1 @ 4.82% 1-2 @ 3.77% ( 0) 0-2 @ 1.88% ( 0) 2-3 @ 0.98% ( 0) 1-3 @ 0.98% ( 0) Other @ 1.22% Total : 13.65% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 28 | 18 | 7 | 3 | 51 | 29 | 22 | 61 |
2 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 27 | 17 | 7 | 3 | 47 | 18 | 29 | 58 |
3 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 28 | 15 | 9 | 4 | 53 | 28 | 25 | 54 |
4 | Derby CountyDerby | 27 | 14 | 8 | 5 | 40 | 21 | 19 | 50 |
5 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 29 | 14 | 8 | 7 | 37 | 23 | 14 | 50 |
6 | Barnsley | 26 | 14 | 4 | 8 | 35 | 25 | 10 | 46 |
7 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 26 | 13 | 2 | 11 | 43 | 32 | 11 | 41 |
8 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 27 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 35 | 27 | 8 | 41 |
9 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 28 | 12 | 5 | 11 | 35 | 31 | 4 | 41 |
10 | Exeter CityExeter | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 41 | 39 | 2 | 38 |
11 | Portsmouth | 26 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 34 | 32 | 2 | 37 |
12 | Bristol Rovers | 28 | 10 | 7 | 11 | 43 | 50 | -7 | 37 |
13 | Port Vale | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 28 | 36 | -8 | 36 |
14 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 34 | 35 | -1 | 35 |
15 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 27 | 8 | 10 | 9 | 41 | 38 | 3 | 34 |
16 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 26 | 6 | 13 | 7 | 24 | 30 | -6 | 31 |
17 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 27 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 29 | 30 | -1 | 29 |
18 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 29 |
19 | Morecambe | 27 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 31 | 40 | -9 | 27 |
20 | MK Dons | 28 | 7 | 4 | 17 | 25 | 40 | -15 | 25 |
21 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 25 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 24 | 41 | -17 | 25 |
22 | Burton Albion | 27 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 34 | 54 | -20 | 25 |
23 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 27 | 7 | 4 | 16 | 23 | 46 | -23 | 25 |
24 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 29 | 5 | 6 | 18 | 24 | 55 | -31 | 21 |
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