Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberdeen win with a probability of 46.74%. A win for Motherwell had a probability of 28.16% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aberdeen win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.31%) and 2-0 (8.06%). The likeliest Motherwell win was 0-1 (7.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aberdeen would win this match.
Result | ||
Aberdeen | Draw | Motherwell |
46.74% ( -0.14) | 25.1% ( 0.04) | 28.16% ( 0.09) |
Both teams to score 54.17% ( -0.07) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.11% ( -0.13) | 48.89% ( 0.12) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.01% ( -0.11) | 70.98% ( 0.11) |
Aberdeen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.05% ( -0.11) | 20.95% ( 0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.31% ( -0.18) | 53.69% ( 0.17) |
Motherwell Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.52% ( 0) | 31.47% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.14% ( 0.01) | 67.86% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Aberdeen | Draw | Motherwell |
1-0 @ 10.3% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.31% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.06% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.85% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 4.2% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.81% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.9% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.64% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.1% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.58% Total : 46.73% | 1-1 @ 11.91% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.59% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.38% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.08% ( -0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.1% | 0-1 @ 7.62% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 6.89% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.41% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.65% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.07% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.7% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.82% Total : 28.16% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 33 | 30 | 2 | 1 | 103 | 25 | 78 | 92 |
2 | RangersRangers | 33 | 25 | 4 | 4 | 81 | 34 | 47 | 79 |
3 | Aberdeen | 33 | 17 | 2 | 14 | 52 | 52 | 0 | 53 |
4 | Hearts | 33 | 14 | 6 | 13 | 56 | 49 | 7 | 48 |
5 | Hibernian | 33 | 13 | 5 | 15 | 49 | 52 | -3 | 44 |
6 | St Mirren | 33 | 12 | 8 | 13 | 38 | 49 | -11 | 44 |
7 | Livingston | 33 | 12 | 6 | 15 | 33 | 52 | -19 | 42 |
8 | Motherwell | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 44 | 48 | -4 | 37 |
9 | St Johnstone | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | 34 | 54 | -20 | 33 |
10 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 33 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 36 | 58 | -22 | 31 |
11 | Kilmarnock | 33 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 29 | 58 | -29 | 31 |
12 | Ross County | 33 | 7 | 6 | 20 | 28 | 52 | -24 | 27 |
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