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Accrington Stanley
League One | Gameweek 20
Dec 3, 2022 at 3pm UK
Wham Stadium
Oxford United
Accrington
1 - 1
Oxford Utd
Hamilton (84')
Tharme (35'), Astley (57'), Leigh (62'), Pritchard (86')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Henry (58')
Brown (73'), Murphy (78')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Accrington Stanley and Oxford United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Accrington Stanley 1-3 Oxford United

Accrington Stanley have certainly improved in recent weeks and will look to kick on with another positive result on Saturday, but Oxford United possess more attacking quality, and we see them having enough to continue their unbeaten run and return home with all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 47.13%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 28.1% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.37%) and 0-2 (7.96%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 1-0 (7.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.

Result
Accrington StanleyDrawOxford United
28.1% (0.198 0.2) 24.77% (-0.202 -0.2) 47.13% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Both teams to score 55.21% (0.809 0.81)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.49% (0.991 0.99)47.51% (-0.989 -0.99)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.28% (0.91 0.91)69.72% (-0.91 -0.91)
Accrington Stanley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.2% (0.66499999999999 0.66)30.8% (-0.665 -0.66)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.92% (0.776 0.78)67.08% (-0.776 -0.78)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.79% (0.405 0.41)20.21% (-0.404 -0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.47% (0.642 0.64)52.53% (-0.641 -0.64)
Score Analysis
    Accrington Stanley 28.1%
    Oxford United 47.13%
    Draw 24.77%
Accrington StanleyDrawOxford United
1-0 @ 7.33% (-0.169 -0.17)
2-1 @ 6.9% (0.054 0.05)
2-0 @ 4.32% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-1 @ 2.71% (0.07 0.07)
3-2 @ 2.17% (0.082 0.08)
3-0 @ 1.69% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 28.1%
1-1 @ 11.72% (-0.12 -0.12)
0-0 @ 6.23% (-0.261 -0.26)
2-2 @ 5.52% (0.111 0.11)
3-3 @ 1.15% (0.057 0.06)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.77%
0-1 @ 9.96% (-0.285 -0.29)
1-2 @ 9.37% (0.019 0.02)
0-2 @ 7.96% (-0.13 -0.13)
1-3 @ 4.99% (0.072 0.07)
0-3 @ 4.24% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.94% (0.094 0.09)
1-4 @ 2% (0.053 0.05)
0-4 @ 1.7% (0.014 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.18% (0.052 0.05)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 47.13%

How you voted: Accrington vs Oxford Utd

Accrington Stanley
17.9%
Draw
23.1%
Oxford United
59.0%
39
Head to Head
Feb 8, 2022 7.45pm
Sep 28, 2021 7.45pm
Oxford Utd
5-1
Accrington
Holland (18', 24'), Taylor (50'), Sykes (71'), Nottingham (90+4' og.)
Seddon (56'), Kane (79'), Moore (81'), Williams (90')
Hamilton (61')
Sykes (45+3'), McConville (81')
Apr 5, 2021 3pm
Oxford Utd
1-2
Accrington
Lee (25')
Lee (54'), Taylor (88')
Smyth (16'), Nottingham (70')
Butcher (58'), Rodgers (87')
Sep 26, 2020 3pm
Accrington
1-4
Oxford Utd
Cassidy (71' pen.)
Rodgers (44'), Hughes (55'), Pritchard (90')
Charles (75')
Henry (45'), Pritchard (73' og.), Taylor (85', 88')
Feb 25, 2020 7.45pm
Oxford Utd
3-0
Accrington
Henry (13'), Taylor (50', 72')

Finley (71'), Johnson (77')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CPlymouth ArgylePlymouth463187824735101
3Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds462812681374496
4Barnsley462681280473386
5Bolton WanderersBolton4623121162362681
6Peterborough UnitedPeterborough462451775542177
7Derby CountyDerby4621131267462176
8Portsmouth4617191061501170
9Wycombe WanderersWycombe46209175951869
10Charlton AthleticCharlton461614167066462
11Lincoln CityLincoln461420124747062
12Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury46178215261-959
13Fleetwood TownFleetwood461416165351258
14Exeter CityExeter461511206468-456
15Burton Albion461511205779-2256
16Cheltenham TownCheltenham461412204561-1654
17Bristol Rovers461411215873-1553
18Port Vale461310234871-2349
19Oxford UnitedOxford Utd461114214956-747
20Cambridge UnitedCambridge46137264168-2746
RMK Dons461112234466-2245
22Morecambe461014224778-3144
RAccrington StanleyAccrington461111244077-3744
RForest Green RoversForest Green4669313189-5827

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