Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 55.07%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 21.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.8%) and 2-0 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.13%), while for an Accrington Stanley win it was 0-1 (6.32%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oxford United would win this match.