Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 40.54%. A win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 33.8% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.7%) and 0-2 (6.78%). The likeliest Cheltenham Town win was 1-0 (8.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood.