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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 50.5%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 25.35% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.62%) and 0-2 (8.58%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 1-0 (6.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Accrington Stanley | Draw | Oxford United |
25.35% | 24.15% | 50.5% |
Both teams to score 54.87% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.13% | 46.87% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.88% | 69.13% |
Accrington Stanley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.4% | 32.61% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.86% | 69.15% |
Oxford United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.41% | 18.59% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.13% | 49.87% |
Score Analysis |
Accrington Stanley | Draw | Oxford United |
1-0 @ 6.79% 2-1 @ 6.41% 2-0 @ 3.81% 3-1 @ 2.39% 3-2 @ 2.01% 3-0 @ 1.42% Other @ 2.52% Total : 25.35% | 1-1 @ 11.43% 0-0 @ 6.06% 2-2 @ 5.39% 3-3 @ 1.13% Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.15% | 0-1 @ 10.19% 1-2 @ 9.62% 0-2 @ 8.58% 1-3 @ 5.39% 0-3 @ 4.81% 2-3 @ 3.02% 1-4 @ 2.27% 0-4 @ 2.02% 2-4 @ 1.27% Other @ 3.31% Total : 50.49% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 46 | 31 | 8 | 7 | 82 | 47 | 35 | 101 |
P | Ipswich TownIpswich | 46 | 28 | 14 | 4 | 101 | 35 | 66 | 98 |
3 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 46 | 28 | 12 | 6 | 81 | 37 | 44 | 96 |
4 | Barnsley | 46 | 26 | 8 | 12 | 80 | 47 | 33 | 86 |
5 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 46 | 23 | 12 | 11 | 62 | 36 | 26 | 81 |
6 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 46 | 24 | 5 | 17 | 75 | 54 | 21 | 77 |
7 | Derby CountyDerby | 46 | 21 | 13 | 12 | 67 | 46 | 21 | 76 |
8 | Portsmouth | 46 | 17 | 19 | 10 | 61 | 50 | 11 | 70 |
9 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 59 | 51 | 8 | 69 |
10 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 46 | 16 | 14 | 16 | 70 | 66 | 4 | 62 |
11 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 46 | 14 | 20 | 12 | 47 | 47 | 0 | 62 |
12 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 46 | 17 | 8 | 21 | 52 | 61 | -9 | 59 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 46 | 14 | 16 | 16 | 53 | 51 | 2 | 58 |
14 | Exeter CityExeter | 46 | 15 | 11 | 20 | 64 | 68 | -4 | 56 |
15 | Burton Albion | 46 | 15 | 11 | 20 | 57 | 79 | -22 | 56 |
16 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 46 | 14 | 12 | 20 | 45 | 61 | -16 | 54 |
17 | Bristol Rovers | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 58 | 73 | -15 | 53 |
18 | Port Vale | 46 | 13 | 10 | 23 | 48 | 71 | -23 | 49 |
19 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 46 | 11 | 14 | 21 | 49 | 56 | -7 | 47 |
20 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 46 | 13 | 7 | 26 | 41 | 68 | -27 | 46 |
R | MK Dons | 46 | 11 | 12 | 23 | 44 | 66 | -22 | 45 |
22 | Morecambe | 46 | 10 | 14 | 22 | 47 | 78 | -31 | 44 |
R | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 46 | 11 | 11 | 24 | 40 | 77 | -37 | 44 |
R | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 46 | 6 | 9 | 31 | 31 | 89 | -58 | 27 |
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