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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Chaves
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Portimonense
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Vizela
Benfica
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 19
Feb 4, 2023 at 6pm UK
Estádio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica
Casa Pia
Benfica
3 - 0
Casa Pia
Mario (35', 43'), Bah (71')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Cuca (33')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Benfica and Casa Pia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Arouca 0-3 Benfica
Tuesday, January 31 at 9.15pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Casa Pia 2-1 Santa Clara
Sunday, January 29 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Benfica 3-0 Casa Pia

Casa Pia face the stern challenge of squaring off against a rampant Benfica side who are currently firing on all cylinders. As Aguias are unbeaten on home soil this season and, given the gulf in experience and quality between the two sides, we are backing them to ease to a comfortable victory on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 76.27%. A draw had a probability of 14.6% and a win for Casa Pia had a probability of 9.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.72%) and 2-1 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.8%), while for a Casa Pia win it was 1-2 (2.76%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Benfica in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Benfica.

Result
BenficaDrawCasa Pia
76.27% (1.774 1.77) 14.61% (-1.078 -1.08) 9.11% (-0.6921 -0.69)
Both teams to score 51.62% (1.373 1.37)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.97% (3.164 3.16)33.03% (-3.16 -3.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.24% (3.553 3.55)54.75% (-3.548 -3.55)
Benfica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.85% (1.108 1.11)7.15% (-1.1041 -1.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
73.98% (2.832 2.83)26.02% (-2.828 -2.83)
Casa Pia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.59% (0.826 0.83)44.41% (-0.821 -0.82)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.54% (0.661 0.66)80.46% (-0.658 -0.66)
Score Analysis
    Benfica 76.26%
    Casa Pia 9.12%
    Draw 14.61%
BenficaDrawCasa Pia
2-0 @ 11.04% (-0.57 -0.57)
3-0 @ 9.72% (0.058 0.06)
2-1 @ 8.97% (-0.247 -0.25)
1-0 @ 8.38% (-0.936 -0.94)
3-1 @ 7.89% (0.223 0.22)
4-0 @ 6.41% (0.384 0.38)
4-1 @ 5.2% (0.423 0.42)
5-0 @ 3.38% (0.376 0.38)
3-2 @ 3.2% (0.161 0.16)
5-1 @ 2.74% (0.36 0.36)
4-2 @ 2.11% (0.215 0.22)
6-0 @ 1.49% (0.237 0.24)
6-1 @ 1.21% (0.215 0.22)
5-2 @ 1.11% (0.168 0.17)
Other @ 3.43%
Total : 76.26%
1-1 @ 6.8% (-0.588 -0.59)
2-2 @ 3.64% (-0.015 -0.02)
0-0 @ 3.18% (-0.557 -0.56)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 14.61%
1-2 @ 2.76% (-0.171 -0.17)
0-1 @ 2.58% (-0.384 -0.38)
0-2 @ 1.05% (-0.129 -0.13)
2-3 @ 0.99% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 1.75%
Total : 9.12%

How you voted: Benfica vs Casa Pia

Benfica
94.9%
Draw
5.1%
Casa Pia
0.0%
39
Head to Head
Aug 13, 2022 6pm
Casa Pia
0-1
Benfica

Neto (7'), Godwin (27'), Taira (31'), Kunimoto (53'), Fernandes (59'), Anderson (90+1')
Ramos (59')
Otamendi (29'), Luis (30'), Silva (90+5')
Otamendi (90+2')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Benfica97111981122
2Sporting Lisbon87101771022
3Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes96121710719
4Porto8611116519
5Braga95222317617
6BoavistaBoavista84311813515
7MoreirenseMoreirense94231210214
8FamalicaoFamalicao833288012
9PortimonensePortimonense93241018-811
10Gil Vicente93152118310
11Casa Pia924388010
12Estrela Amadora8224812-48
13SC FarenseFarense8215111107
14ChavesChaves92161226-147
15Vizela81341014-46
16AroucaArouca9135914-56
17Rio AveRio Ave8125614-85
18Estoril PraiaEstoril91171420-64

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