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Jan 14, 2023 at 3pm UK at Highbury Stadium
Fleetwood
1 - 2
Oxford Utd
Wiredu (44')
Nsiala (90+7')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Joseph (62'), Brown (90')
Long (72'), Goodrham (90+5'), Moore (90+7')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Fleetwood Town and Oxford United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Fleetwood Town 1-1 Oxford United

After a close encounter between these two at the Kassam Stadium in November last year, in which they shared the spoils of the points, we forecast a similar outcome in Lancashire on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 37.54%. A win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 36.5% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.31%) and 0-2 (6.27%). The likeliest Fleetwood Town win was 1-0 (9.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oxford United would win this match.

Result
Fleetwood TownDrawOxford United
36.5% (-0.129 -0.13) 25.96% (0.012 0.01) 37.54% (0.117 0.12)
Both teams to score 54.38% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.02% (-0.052 -0.05)49.97% (0.049999999999997 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.03% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)71.96% (0.044999999999987 0.04)
Fleetwood Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.45% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)26.54% (0.097000000000001 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.24% (-0.13 -0.13)61.75% (0.127 0.13)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.04% (0.040999999999997 0.04)25.95% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.03% (0.057000000000002 0.06)60.96% (-0.058 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Fleetwood Town 36.5%
    Oxford United 37.54%
    Draw 25.95%
Fleetwood TownDrawOxford United
1-0 @ 9.14% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.17% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
2-0 @ 6.06% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
3-1 @ 3.61% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-0 @ 2.68% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.44% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.2% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 36.5%
1-1 @ 12.32%
0-0 @ 6.89% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.51% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.1% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.95%
0-1 @ 9.29% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
1-2 @ 8.31% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.27% (0.028 0.03)
1-3 @ 3.74% (0.011 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.82% (0.016 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.48%
1-4 @ 1.26% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
0-4 @ 0.95% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 37.54%

How you voted: Fleetwood vs Oxford Utd

Fleetwood Town
33.3%
Draw
66.7%
Oxford United
0.0%
6
Head to Head
Nov 1, 2022 7.45pm
Apr 15, 2022 3pm
Fleetwood
2-3
Oxford Utd
Harrison (39' pen.), Hayes (53')
Harrison (52')
Holland (2'), Brannagan (7'), Bodin (16')
Brannagan (71'), Stevens (90+6')
Nov 23, 2021 7.45pm
Oxford Utd
3-1
Fleetwood
McNally (5'), Brannagan (13'), Holland (69')
Whyte (89')
Matete (40')
Clark (52'), Batty (65'), Matete (84')
Jan 30, 2021 3pm
Oct 31, 2020 3pm
Fleetwood
2-0
Oxford Utd
Camps (1'), Madden (76')
Duffy (90+4')

Ruffels (53'), Long (87')
rhs 2.0
Todays Game Header Right
Result
Medvedev
Dimitrov
6 6
1 2
2pm
Sinner
Griekspoor
Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds31208358223668
2Plymouth ArgylePlymouth32208457322568
3Ipswich TownIpswich321612460312960
4Bolton WanderersBolton33178848242459
5Derby CountyDerby31169650252557
6Barnsley30175845271856
7Wycombe WanderersWycombe311651044291553
8Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury32146123934548
9Peterborough UnitedPeterborough301521348381047
10Portsmouth30101283736142
11Charlton AthleticCharlton311010114543240
12Port Vale32117143346-1340
13Exeter CityExeter32109134243-139
14Lincoln CityLincoln3081572931-239
15Bristol Rovers32108144455-1138
16Fleetwood TownFleetwood31812113434036
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd3399153641-536
18Burton Albion3197154058-1834
19Cheltenham TownCheltenham3196162540-1533
20Accrington StanleyAccrington3079142647-2130
21MK Dons3285193051-2129
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge3185182651-2529
23Morecambe31610153252-2028
24Forest Green RoversForest Green3357212563-3822

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