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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 37.54%. A win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 36.5% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.31%) and 0-2 (6.27%). The likeliest Fleetwood Town win was 1-0 (9.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oxford United would win this match.
Result | ||
Fleetwood Town | Draw | Oxford United |
36.5% ( -0.13) | 25.96% ( 0.01) | 37.54% ( 0.12) |
Both teams to score 54.38% ( -0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.02% ( -0.05) | 49.97% ( 0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.03% ( -0.05) | 71.96% ( 0.04) |
Fleetwood Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.45% ( -0.1) | 26.54% ( 0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.24% ( -0.13) | 61.75% ( 0.13) |
Oxford United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.04% ( 0.04) | 25.95% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.03% ( 0.06) | 60.96% ( -0.06) |
Score Analysis |
Fleetwood Town | Draw | Oxford United |
1-0 @ 9.14% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.17% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 6.06% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 3.61% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 2.68% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.44% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.2% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.2% Total : 36.5% | 1-1 @ 12.32% 0-0 @ 6.89% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.51% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.1% ( -0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.95% | 0-1 @ 9.29% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 8.31% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 6.27% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 3.74% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.82% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.48% 1-4 @ 1.26% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 0.95% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.42% Total : 37.54% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 31 | 20 | 8 | 3 | 58 | 22 | 36 | 68 |
2 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 32 | 20 | 8 | 4 | 57 | 32 | 25 | 68 |
3 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 32 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 60 | 31 | 29 | 60 |
4 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 33 | 17 | 8 | 8 | 48 | 24 | 24 | 59 |
5 | Derby CountyDerby | 31 | 16 | 9 | 6 | 50 | 25 | 25 | 57 |
6 | Barnsley | 30 | 17 | 5 | 8 | 45 | 27 | 18 | 56 |
7 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 31 | 16 | 5 | 10 | 44 | 29 | 15 | 53 |
8 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 32 | 14 | 6 | 12 | 39 | 34 | 5 | 48 |
9 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 30 | 15 | 2 | 13 | 48 | 38 | 10 | 47 |
10 | Portsmouth | 30 | 10 | 12 | 8 | 37 | 36 | 1 | 42 |
11 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 31 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 45 | 43 | 2 | 40 |
12 | Port Vale | 32 | 11 | 7 | 14 | 33 | 46 | -13 | 40 |
13 | Exeter CityExeter | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | 42 | 43 | -1 | 39 |
14 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 30 | 8 | 15 | 7 | 29 | 31 | -2 | 39 |
15 | Bristol Rovers | 32 | 10 | 8 | 14 | 44 | 55 | -11 | 38 |
16 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 31 | 8 | 12 | 11 | 34 | 34 | 0 | 36 |
17 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 36 | 41 | -5 | 36 |
18 | Burton Albion | 31 | 9 | 7 | 15 | 40 | 58 | -18 | 34 |
19 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 31 | 9 | 6 | 16 | 25 | 40 | -15 | 33 |
20 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 26 | 47 | -21 | 30 |
21 | MK Dons | 32 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 30 | 51 | -21 | 29 |
22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 31 | 8 | 5 | 18 | 26 | 51 | -25 | 29 |
23 | Morecambe | 31 | 6 | 10 | 15 | 32 | 52 | -20 | 28 |
24 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 33 | 5 | 7 | 21 | 25 | 63 | -38 | 22 |
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