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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 52.84%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 23.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.7%) and 2-0 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.44%), while for a Fleetwood Town win it was 0-1 (6.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Fleetwood Town would win this match.
Result | ||
MK Dons | Draw | Fleetwood Town |
52.84% ( 0.03) | 24.08% ( 0.01) | 23.08% ( -0.04) |
Both teams to score 52.6% ( -0.08) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.32% ( -0.08) | 48.67% ( 0.08) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.21% ( -0.07) | 70.78% ( 0.07) |
MK Dons Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.62% ( -0.02) | 18.37% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.5% ( -0.03) | 49.5% ( 0.03) |
Fleetwood Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.44% ( -0.08) | 35.56% ( 0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.67% ( -0.09) | 72.32% ( 0.08) |
Score Analysis |
MK Dons | Draw | Fleetwood Town |
1-0 @ 11.06% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.7% ( -0) 2-0 @ 9.38% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 5.48% ( -0) 3-0 @ 5.3% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.83% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.32% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.24% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.2% ( -0) Other @ 3.33% Total : 52.83% | 1-1 @ 11.44% 0-0 @ 6.53% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.01% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.08% | 0-1 @ 6.76% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 5.92% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 3.49% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.04% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.73% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.2% ( -0) Other @ 1.95% Total : 23.08% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 43 | 28 | 8 | 7 | 76 | 46 | 30 | 92 |
2 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 43 | 26 | 13 | 4 | 90 | 33 | 57 | 91 |
3 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 44 | 26 | 12 | 6 | 77 | 37 | 40 | 90 |
4 | Barnsley | 43 | 26 | 7 | 10 | 76 | 38 | 38 | 85 |
5 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 43 | 21 | 12 | 10 | 57 | 33 | 24 | 75 |
6 | Derby CountyDerby | 44 | 21 | 12 | 11 | 66 | 44 | 22 | 75 |
7 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 44 | 23 | 4 | 17 | 73 | 54 | 19 | 73 |
8 | Portsmouth | 44 | 17 | 17 | 10 | 58 | 47 | 11 | 68 |
9 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 44 | 20 | 8 | 16 | 57 | 46 | 11 | 68 |
10 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 43 | 13 | 20 | 10 | 44 | 43 | 1 | 59 |
11 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 44 | 15 | 13 | 16 | 65 | 62 | 3 | 58 |
12 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 44 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 51 | 47 | 4 | 57 |
13 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 43 | 16 | 8 | 19 | 50 | 56 | -6 | 56 |
14 | Exeter CityExeter | 44 | 14 | 11 | 19 | 61 | 60 | 1 | 53 |
15 | Bristol Rovers | 42 | 14 | 10 | 18 | 55 | 66 | -11 | 52 |
16 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 43 | 13 | 11 | 19 | 40 | 55 | -15 | 50 |
17 | Port Vale | 44 | 13 | 10 | 21 | 45 | 65 | -20 | 49 |
18 | Burton Albion | 42 | 13 | 10 | 19 | 55 | 78 | -23 | 49 |
19 | MK Dons | 44 | 11 | 10 | 23 | 40 | 62 | -22 | 43 |
20 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 43 | 9 | 14 | 20 | 41 | 54 | -13 | 41 |
21 | Morecambe | 44 | 9 | 14 | 21 | 42 | 73 | -31 | 41 |
22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 43 | 11 | 7 | 25 | 37 | 66 | -29 | 40 |
23 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 43 | 9 | 11 | 23 | 36 | 74 | -38 | 38 |
R | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 44 | 6 | 9 | 29 | 31 | 84 | -53 | 27 |
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