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MK Dons
League One | Gameweek 20
Dec 3, 2022 at 12.30pm UK
Stadium mk
Burton Albion
MK Dons
1 - 1
Burton Albion
Johnson (84')
Harvie (45+5')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Adeboyejo (29' pen.)
Onyango (64'), Garratt (90+1')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between MK Dons and Burton Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: MK Dons 2-1 Burton Albion

Given their respective form, neither team will feel particularly confident about collecting maximum points at the weekend. Nevertheless, despite Burton heading into this fixture on the back of two draws, MK Dons remain the favourites and could edge the game by the odd goal in three. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 61.97%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Burton Albion had a probability of 17.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.47%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.92%), while for a Burton Albion win it was 0-1 (4.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.

Result
MK DonsDrawBurton Albion
61.97% (1.43 1.43) 20.96% (-0.388 -0.39) 17.07% (-1.045 -1.05)
Both teams to score 52.96% (-0.806 -0.81)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.6% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)43.4% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.21% (-0.032999999999994 -0.03)65.79% (0.031999999999996 0.03)
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.54% (0.42 0.42)13.46% (-0.421 -0.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.55% (0.839 0.84)40.45% (-0.84 -0.84)
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.2% (-1.234 -1.23)38.8% (1.233 1.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.46% (-1.186 -1.19)75.54% (1.186 1.19)
Score Analysis
    MK Dons 61.96%
    Burton Albion 17.07%
    Draw 20.96%
MK DonsDrawBurton Albion
2-0 @ 10.5% (0.34 0.34)
1-0 @ 10.47% (0.18 0.18)
2-1 @ 9.94% (-0.011000000000001 -0.01)
3-0 @ 7.02% (0.329 0.33)
3-1 @ 6.65% (0.095000000000001 0.1)
4-0 @ 3.52% (0.216 0.22)
4-1 @ 3.33% (0.098 0.1)
3-2 @ 3.15% (-0.061 -0.06)
4-2 @ 1.58% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
5-0 @ 1.41% (0.107 0.11)
5-1 @ 1.34% (0.059 0.06)
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 61.96%
1-1 @ 9.92% (-0.165 -0.17)
0-0 @ 5.22% (0.008 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.71% (-0.166 -0.17)
3-3 @ 0.99% (-0.054 -0.05)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 20.96%
0-1 @ 4.94% (-0.161 -0.16)
1-2 @ 4.69% (-0.242 -0.24)
0-2 @ 2.34% (-0.159 -0.16)
2-3 @ 1.49% (-0.105 -0.11)
1-3 @ 1.48% (-0.129 -0.13)
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 17.07%

How you voted: MK Dons vs Burton Albion

MK Dons
63.2%
Draw
21.1%
Burton Albion
15.8%
19
Head to Head
Jan 25, 2022 7.45pm
Nov 20, 2021 3pm
Aug 31, 2021 7pm
Mar 20, 2021 3pm
Burton Albion
1-2
MK Dons
Akins (74' pen.)
Clare (41'), Carter (58'), Hemmings (68')
Fraser (15' pen.), O'Hora (61')
McEachran (57'), Harvie (90+3')
Dec 12, 2020 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CPlymouth ArgylePlymouth463187824735101
3Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds462812681374496
4Barnsley462681280473386
5Bolton WanderersBolton4623121162362681
6Peterborough UnitedPeterborough462451775542177
7Derby CountyDerby4621131267462176
8Portsmouth4617191061501170
9Wycombe WanderersWycombe46209175951869
10Charlton AthleticCharlton461614167066462
11Lincoln CityLincoln461420124747062
12Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury46178215261-959
13Fleetwood TownFleetwood461416165351258
14Exeter CityExeter461511206468-456
15Burton Albion461511205779-2256
16Cheltenham TownCheltenham461412204561-1654
17Bristol Rovers461411215873-1553
18Port Vale461310234871-2349
19Oxford UnitedOxford Utd461114214956-747
20Cambridge UnitedCambridge46137264168-2746
RMK Dons461112234466-2245
22Morecambe461014224778-3144
RAccrington StanleyAccrington461111244077-3744
RForest Green RoversForest Green4669313189-5827

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