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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 61.97%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Burton Albion had a probability of 17.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.47%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.92%), while for a Burton Albion win it was 0-1 (4.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
MK Dons | Draw | Burton Albion |
61.97% ( 1.43) | 20.96% ( -0.39) | 17.07% ( -1.05) |
Both teams to score 52.96% ( -0.81) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.6% ( -0.03) | 43.4% ( 0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.21% ( -0.03) | 65.79% ( 0.03) |
MK Dons Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.54% ( 0.42) | 13.46% ( -0.42) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.55% ( 0.84) | 40.45% ( -0.84) |
Burton Albion Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.2% ( -1.23) | 38.8% ( 1.23) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.46% ( -1.19) | 75.54% ( 1.19) |
Score Analysis |
MK Dons | Draw | Burton Albion |
2-0 @ 10.5% ( 0.34) 1-0 @ 10.47% ( 0.18) 2-1 @ 9.94% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 7.02% ( 0.33) 3-1 @ 6.65% ( 0.1) 4-0 @ 3.52% ( 0.22) 4-1 @ 3.33% ( 0.1) 3-2 @ 3.15% ( -0.06) 4-2 @ 1.58% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.41% ( 0.11) 5-1 @ 1.34% ( 0.06) Other @ 3.05% Total : 61.96% | 1-1 @ 9.92% ( -0.17) 0-0 @ 5.22% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.71% ( -0.17) 3-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.13% Total : 20.96% | 0-1 @ 4.94% ( -0.16) 1-2 @ 4.69% ( -0.24) 0-2 @ 2.34% ( -0.16) 2-3 @ 1.49% ( -0.11) 1-3 @ 1.48% ( -0.13) Other @ 2.13% Total : 17.07% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 46 | 31 | 8 | 7 | 82 | 47 | 35 | 101 |
P | Ipswich TownIpswich | 46 | 28 | 14 | 4 | 101 | 35 | 66 | 98 |
3 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 46 | 28 | 12 | 6 | 81 | 37 | 44 | 96 |
4 | Barnsley | 46 | 26 | 8 | 12 | 80 | 47 | 33 | 86 |
5 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 46 | 23 | 12 | 11 | 62 | 36 | 26 | 81 |
6 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 46 | 24 | 5 | 17 | 75 | 54 | 21 | 77 |
7 | Derby CountyDerby | 46 | 21 | 13 | 12 | 67 | 46 | 21 | 76 |
8 | Portsmouth | 46 | 17 | 19 | 10 | 61 | 50 | 11 | 70 |
9 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 59 | 51 | 8 | 69 |
10 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 46 | 16 | 14 | 16 | 70 | 66 | 4 | 62 |
11 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 46 | 14 | 20 | 12 | 47 | 47 | 0 | 62 |
12 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 46 | 17 | 8 | 21 | 52 | 61 | -9 | 59 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 46 | 14 | 16 | 16 | 53 | 51 | 2 | 58 |
14 | Exeter CityExeter | 46 | 15 | 11 | 20 | 64 | 68 | -4 | 56 |
15 | Burton Albion | 46 | 15 | 11 | 20 | 57 | 79 | -22 | 56 |
16 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 46 | 14 | 12 | 20 | 45 | 61 | -16 | 54 |
17 | Bristol Rovers | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 58 | 73 | -15 | 53 |
18 | Port Vale | 46 | 13 | 10 | 23 | 48 | 71 | -23 | 49 |
19 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 46 | 11 | 14 | 21 | 49 | 56 | -7 | 47 |
20 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 46 | 13 | 7 | 26 | 41 | 68 | -27 | 46 |
R | MK Dons | 46 | 11 | 12 | 23 | 44 | 66 | -22 | 45 |
22 | Morecambe | 46 | 10 | 14 | 22 | 47 | 78 | -31 | 44 |
R | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 46 | 11 | 11 | 24 | 40 | 77 | -37 | 44 |
R | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 46 | 6 | 9 | 31 | 31 | 89 | -58 | 27 |
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