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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 50.76%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 24.84% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.6%) and 2-0 (8.86%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 0-1 (6.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
MK Dons | Draw | Burton Albion |
50.76% | 24.4% | 24.84% |
Both teams to score 53.54% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.63% | 48.38% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.49% | 70.52% |
MK Dons Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.93% | 19.07% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.33% | 50.67% |
Burton Albion Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.16% | 33.84% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.49% | 70.51% |
Score Analysis |
MK Dons | Draw | Burton Albion |
1-0 @ 10.69% 2-1 @ 9.6% 2-0 @ 8.86% 3-1 @ 5.3% 3-0 @ 4.89% 3-2 @ 2.87% 4-1 @ 2.2% 4-0 @ 2.03% 4-2 @ 1.19% Other @ 3.12% Total : 50.75% | 1-1 @ 11.58% 0-0 @ 6.45% 2-2 @ 5.2% 3-3 @ 1.04% Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.4% | 0-1 @ 6.99% 1-2 @ 6.28% 0-2 @ 3.79% 1-3 @ 2.27% 2-3 @ 1.88% 0-3 @ 1.37% Other @ 2.27% Total : 24.84% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 20 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 39 | 24 | 15 | 43 |
2 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 20 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 39 | 20 | 19 | 42 |
3 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 20 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 35 | 16 | 19 | 41 |
4 | Barnsley | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 25 | 16 | 9 | 33 |
5 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 22 | 16 | 6 | 32 |
6 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 20 | 10 | 1 | 9 | 35 | 25 | 10 | 31 |
7 | Derby CountyDerby | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 23 | 16 | 7 | 30 |
8 | Portsmouth | 17 | 7 | 8 | 2 | 26 | 18 | 8 | 29 |
9 | Port Vale | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 29 |
10 | Exeter CityExeter | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 32 | 30 | 2 | 26 |
11 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 19 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 21 | 23 | -2 | 26 |
12 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 26 |
13 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 26 | 22 | 4 | 25 |
14 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 25 | 24 | 1 | 25 |
15 | Bristol Rovers | 20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 31 | 34 | -3 | 25 |
16 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 25 |
17 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 20 | 5 | 9 | 6 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 24 |
18 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 20 | 4 | 11 | 5 | 21 | 20 | 1 | 23 |
19 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 20 | 31 | -11 | 21 |
20 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 20 | 6 | 2 | 12 | 19 | 32 | -13 | 20 |
21 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 20 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 18 | 39 | -21 | 17 |
22 | MK Dons | 19 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 15 |
23 | Burton Albion | 20 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 26 | 41 | -15 | 15 |
24 | Morecambe | 20 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 31 | -15 | 15 |
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