Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 40.07%. A win for Charlton Athletic had a probability of 32.5% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.35%) and 0-2 (7.38%). The likeliest Charlton Athletic win was 1-0 (10.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for MK Dons in this match.
