Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Changchun Yatai win with a probability of 57.4%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Wuhan had a probability of 20.56%.

The most likely scoreline for a Changchun Yatai win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.75%) and 0-2 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.33%), while for a Wuhan win it was 2-1 (5.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.