Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wuhan Three Towns win with a probability of 64.88%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Changchun Yatai had a probability of 16%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wuhan Three Towns win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.64%) and 1-0 (8.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.79%), while for a Changchun Yatai win it was 1-2 (4.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.