Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Trabzonspor win with a probability of 40.15%. A win for Fatih Karagumruk had a probability of 35.19% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Trabzonspor win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.2%) and 0-2 (6.2%). The likeliest Fatih Karagumruk win was 2-1 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.49%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.