Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a USA Under-20s win with a probability of 95.97%. A draw had a probability of 3.3% and a win for Fiji Under-20s had a probability of 0.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a USA Under-20s win was 4-0 with a probability of 14.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (14.77%) and 5-0 (11.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (1.5%), while for a Fiji Under-20s win it was 0-1 (0.37%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 14.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that USA Under-20s would win this match.