Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 63.29%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 15.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.93%) and 1-2 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.83%), while for a Real Valladolid win it was 1-0 (4.88%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Real Valladolid | Draw | Barcelona |
15.99% ( -0.3) | 20.72% ( -0.01) | 63.29% ( 0.31) |
Both teams to score 51.4% ( -0.64) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.71% ( -0.52) | 44.28% ( 0.52) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.34% ( -0.5) | 66.66% ( 0.51) |
Real Valladolid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.32% ( -0.69) | 40.68% ( 0.69) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.73% ( -0.63) | 77.27% ( 0.63) |
Barcelona Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.65% ( -0.07) | 13.34% ( 0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.78% ( -0.15) | 40.22% ( 0.14) |
Score Analysis |
Real Valladolid | Draw | Barcelona |
1-0 @ 4.88% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 4.42% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 2.2% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 1.34% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 1.33% ( -0.05) Other @ 1.83% Total : 15.99% | 1-1 @ 9.83% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.43% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 4.45% ( -0.09) Other @ 1.01% Total : 20.72% | 0-2 @ 11.01% ( 0.19) 0-1 @ 10.93% ( 0.22) 1-2 @ 9.9% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 7.39% ( 0.11) 1-3 @ 6.65% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 3.72% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 3.35% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.99% ( -0.07) 2-4 @ 1.51% ( -0.04) 0-5 @ 1.5% ( 0.01) 1-5 @ 1.35% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.99% Total : 63.28% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Barcelona | 37 | 28 | 4 | 5 | 69 | 18 | 51 | 88 |
2 | Real Madrid | 37 | 24 | 5 | 8 | 74 | 35 | 39 | 77 |
3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 37 | 23 | 7 | 7 | 68 | 31 | 37 | 76 |
4 | Real Sociedad | 37 | 20 | 8 | 9 | 49 | 34 | 15 | 68 |
5 | Villarreal | 37 | 19 | 6 | 12 | 57 | 38 | 19 | 63 |
6 | Real BetisBetis | 37 | 17 | 8 | 12 | 45 | 40 | 5 | 59 |
7 | Osasuna | 37 | 14 | 8 | 15 | 35 | 41 | -6 | 50 |
8 | Athletic Bilbao | 37 | 14 | 8 | 15 | 46 | 42 | 4 | 50 |
9 | GironaGirona | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 57 | 53 | 4 | 49 |
10 | Rayo Vallecano | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 45 | 50 | -5 | 49 |
11 | Sevilla | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 46 | 52 | -6 | 49 |
12 | Mallorca | 37 | 13 | 8 | 16 | 34 | 43 | -9 | 47 |
13 | Valencia | 37 | 11 | 8 | 18 | 41 | 44 | -3 | 41 |
14 | CadizCadiz | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 29 | 52 | -23 | 41 |
15 | Getafe | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 41 |
16 | Almeria | 37 | 11 | 7 | 19 | 46 | 62 | -16 | 40 |
17 | Celta Vigo | 37 | 10 | 10 | 17 | 41 | 52 | -11 | 40 |
18 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 37 | 11 | 6 | 20 | 33 | 63 | -30 | 39 |
R | Espanyol | 37 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 49 | 66 | -17 | 36 |
R | ElcheElche | 37 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 29 | 66 | -37 | 24 |
> La Liga Full Table |