Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 64.91%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Real Betis had a probability of 15.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.59%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.47%), while for a Real Betis win it was 0-1 (4.54%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barcelona would win this match.
Result | ||
Barcelona | Draw | Real Betis |
64.91% ( 1.19) | 19.99% ( -0.19) | 15.09% ( -1.01) |
Both teams to score 51.74% ( -1.77) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.23% ( -1.15) | 42.76% ( 1.15) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.83% ( -1.15) | 65.16% ( 1.15) |
Barcelona Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.59% ( -0.02) | 12.41% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
61.7% ( -0.03) | 38.3% ( 0.02) |
Real Betis Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.07% ( -2.01) | 40.93% ( 2.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.5% ( -1.85) | 77.49% ( 1.84) |
Score Analysis |
Barcelona | Draw | Real Betis |
2-0 @ 11.05% ( 0.54) 1-0 @ 10.59% ( 0.52) 2-1 @ 9.88% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 7.69% ( 0.38) 3-1 @ 6.87% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 4.01% ( 0.19) 4-1 @ 3.59% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 3.07% ( -0.19) 5-0 @ 1.68% ( 0.08) 4-2 @ 1.6% ( -0.1) 5-1 @ 1.5% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.37% Total : 64.9% | 1-1 @ 9.47% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 5.08% ( 0.25) 2-2 @ 4.41% ( -0.27) 3-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.11) Other @ 0.12% Total : 19.99% | 0-1 @ 4.54% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 4.23% ( -0.26) 0-2 @ 2.03% ( -0.12) 2-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.16) 1-3 @ 1.26% ( -0.15) Other @ 1.73% Total : 15.09% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Barcelona | 37 | 28 | 4 | 5 | 69 | 18 | 51 | 88 |
2 | Real Madrid | 37 | 24 | 5 | 8 | 74 | 35 | 39 | 77 |
3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 37 | 23 | 7 | 7 | 68 | 31 | 37 | 76 |
4 | Real Sociedad | 37 | 20 | 8 | 9 | 49 | 34 | 15 | 68 |
5 | Villarreal | 37 | 19 | 6 | 12 | 57 | 38 | 19 | 63 |
6 | Real BetisBetis | 37 | 17 | 8 | 12 | 45 | 40 | 5 | 59 |
7 | Osasuna | 37 | 14 | 8 | 15 | 35 | 41 | -6 | 50 |
8 | Athletic Bilbao | 37 | 14 | 8 | 15 | 46 | 42 | 4 | 50 |
9 | GironaGirona | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 57 | 53 | 4 | 49 |
10 | Rayo Vallecano | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 45 | 50 | -5 | 49 |
11 | Sevilla | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 46 | 52 | -6 | 49 |
12 | Mallorca | 37 | 13 | 8 | 16 | 34 | 43 | -9 | 47 |
13 | Valencia | 37 | 11 | 8 | 18 | 41 | 44 | -3 | 41 |
14 | CadizCadiz | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 29 | 52 | -23 | 41 |
15 | Getafe | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 41 |
16 | Almeria | 37 | 11 | 7 | 19 | 46 | 62 | -16 | 40 |
17 | Celta Vigo | 37 | 10 | 10 | 17 | 41 | 52 | -11 | 40 |
18 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 37 | 11 | 6 | 20 | 33 | 63 | -30 | 39 |
R | Espanyol | 37 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 49 | 66 | -17 | 36 |
R | ElcheElche | 37 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 29 | 66 | -37 | 24 |
> La Liga Full Table |