Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wuhan Three Towns win with a probability of 64.93%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Henan Songshan Longmen had a probability of 14.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wuhan Three Towns win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.37%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.66%), while for a Henan Songshan Longmen win it was 0-1 (4.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.