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Aberdeen logo
Celtic logo
Dundee United
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Kilmarnock logo
Livingston logo
Motherwell logo
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Ross County
St Johnstone logo
St Mirren logo
St Johnstone logo
Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 19
Dec 28, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
McDiarmid Park
Hearts logo
St Johnstone
2 - 3
Hearts
May (55' pen.), Murphy (79')
Carey (9'), McGowan (13'), Mitchell (84'), Gordon (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Shankland (14' pen.), Forrest (33'), McKay (64')
Snodgrass (55')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Scottish Premiership clash between St Johnstone and Hearts, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Celtic 4-1 St Johnstone
Saturday, December 24 at 12.30pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Dundee Utd 2-2 Hearts
Saturday, December 24 at 2pm in Scottish Premiership

We said: St Johnstone 1-0 Hearts

Although St Johnstone came back from Celtic Park without any points on Christmas Eve, there were positives to take away from the performance as they look to record a victory on home soil. Hearts did not get the win they expected at Dundee United and lost many players to injury in the process, meaning a trip to face the Saints could be a real struggle on Wednesday night. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 40.85%. A win for St Johnstone had a probability of 30.35% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.05%) and 0-2 (8.02%). The likeliest St Johnstone win was 1-0 (10.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hearts would win this match.

Result
St JohnstoneDrawHearts
30.35% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01) 28.8%40.85% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Both teams to score 44.5% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.16% (0.011000000000003 0.01)61.84% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.38% (0.010999999999999 0.01)81.62% (-0.0069999999999908 -0.01)
St Johnstone Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.33% (0.0019999999999953 0)36.67% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.54% (0.0030000000000001 0)73.45%
Hearts Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.26% (0.013000000000005 0.01)29.73% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.2% (0.014000000000003 0.01)65.8% (-0.012 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    St Johnstone 30.34%
    Hearts 40.84%
    Draw 28.79%
St JohnstoneDrawHearts
1-0 @ 10.93% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 6.66% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 5.49% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 2.23%
3-0 @ 1.84% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 1.35% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 30.34%
1-1 @ 13.26%
0-0 @ 10.9%
2-2 @ 4.04% (0.00099999999999945 0)
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 28.79%
0-1 @ 13.22%
1-2 @ 8.05% (0.0019999999999989 0)
0-2 @ 8.02% (0.0019999999999989 0)
1-3 @ 3.25% (0.0020000000000002 0)
0-3 @ 3.24% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 1.63% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 0.99%
0-4 @ 0.98% (0.001 0)
Other @ 1.46%
Total : 40.84%

How you voted: St Johnstone vs Hearts

St Johnstone
46.9%
Draw
31.3%
Hearts
21.9%
32
Head to Head
Aug 28, 2022 3pm
Hearts
3-2
St Johnstone
Rowles (25'), Boyce (31'), Shankland (81' pen.)
Carey (6'), Considine (54')
Murphy (15'), Phillips (45'), Crawford (66'), Considine (84')
Feb 19, 2022 3pm
Jan 18, 2022 7.45pm
Hearts
2-0
St Johnstone
Ginnelly (46', 75')
Souttar (73'), Smith (89')

Cleary (60'), Davidson (70'), Gordon (90+3')
Oct 27, 2021 7.45pm
St Johnstone
1-1
Hearts
Gordon (11')
Davidson (56'), May (67'), McCart (69'), Gordon (83')
Ginnelly (40')
Souttar (35'), Devlin (86')
Feb 1, 2020 3pm
St Johnstone
3-3
Hearts
May (17', 62' pen.), McCann (52')
O'Halloran (45'), Craig (59')
Boyce (26'), Naismith (31'), Clare (91')
Irving (58'), Halkett (61'), Naismith (86')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Celtic333021103257892
2RangersRangers33254481344779
3Aberdeen33172145252053
4Hearts33146135649748
5Hibernian33135154952-344
6St Mirren33128133849-1144
7Livingston33126153352-1942
8Motherwell33107164448-437
9St Johnstone3396183454-2033
10Dundee UnitedDundee Utd3387183658-2231
11Kilmarnock3387182958-2931
12Ross County3376202852-2427

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