Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guangzhou City win with a probability of 36.36%. A win for Wuhan had a probability of 35.95% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Guangzhou City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.86%) and 0-2 (6.58%). The likeliest Wuhan win was 1-0 (10.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.