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England national football team
World Cup | Last 16
Dec 4, 2022 at 7pm UK
Al Bayt Stadium
Senegal national football team

England
3 - 0
Senegal

Henderson (38'), Kane (45+3'), Saka (57')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Koulibaly (76')

The Match

Match Report

England overcome a sticky start to record an impressive 3-0 win over Senegal and advance to the quarter-finals of the 2022 World Cup at the Al Bayt Stadium.

Team News

Bukayo Saka returns to the starting lineup for England's World Cup 2022 last-16 clash with Senegal, but Raheem Sterling is absent due to personal reasons.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's World Cup clash between England and Senegal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Senegal could line up for Sunday's World Cup clash with England.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
World Cup
Last Game: Wales 0-3 England
Tuesday, November 29 at 7pm in World Cup
Current Group B Standings P GD PTS
1England377
2USA315
3Iran3-33
4Wales3-51
All competitions
World Cup
Last Game: Ecuador 1-2 Senegal
Tuesday, November 29 at 3pm in World Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a England win with a probability of 47.16%. A win for Senegal had a probability of 26.91% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a England win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.2%) and 2-0 (8.67%). The likeliest Senegal win was 0-1 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that England would win this match.

Result
EnglandDrawSenegal
47.16% (0.81699999999999 0.82) 25.92% (-0.159 -0.16) 26.91% (-0.656 -0.66)
Both teams to score 50.69% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.99% (0.227 0.23)53% (-0.227 -0.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.4% (0.194 0.19)74.59% (-0.19200000000001 -0.19)
England Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.53% (0.47200000000001 0.47)22.47% (-0.47 -0.47)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.98% (0.7 0.7)56.01% (-0.698 -0.7)
Senegal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.38% (-0.40400000000001 -0.4)34.61% (0.406 0.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.66% (-0.431 -0.43)71.33% (0.432 0.43)
Score Analysis
    England 47.16%
    Senegal 26.91%
    Draw 25.91%
EnglandDrawSenegal
1-0 @ 11.61% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
2-1 @ 9.2% (0.072999999999999 0.07)
2-0 @ 8.67% (0.163 0.16)
3-1 @ 4.58% (0.099 0.1)
3-0 @ 4.31% (0.14 0.14)
3-2 @ 2.43% (0.026 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.71% (0.061 0.06)
4-0 @ 1.61% (0.073 0.07)
4-2 @ 0.91% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 47.16%
1-1 @ 12.31% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-0 @ 7.78% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-2 @ 4.88% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 25.91%
0-1 @ 8.25% (-0.167 -0.17)
1-2 @ 6.54% (-0.112 -0.11)
0-2 @ 4.38% (-0.137 -0.14)
1-3 @ 2.31% (-0.066 -0.07)
2-3 @ 1.73% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.55% (-0.066 -0.07)
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 26.91%

How you voted: England vs Senegal

England
81.3%
Sengal
18.8%
96
Build-up
England's Bukayo Saka celebrates scoring their fourth goal on November 21, 2022
Arsenal's Bukayo Saka to start for England against Senegal?
Arsenal attacker Bukayo Saka is reportedly set to start for England in their World Cup 2022 last-16 clash with Senegal on Sunday night.
Dec 4, 12:18
England maanger Gareth Southgate pictured on November 25, 2022
England looking to extend 72-year World Cup streak, end Senegal run of results
England will be looking to extend a World Cup streak and end a run of specific Senegal results when they lock horns in the last 16 on Sunday.
Dec 4, 10:48
Marcus Rashford celebrates scoring for England against Wales on November 29, 2022
England vs. Senegal: How do both squads compare ahead of World Cup clash?
Sports Mole looks at how the squads of England and Senegal compare ahead of Sunday's World Cup clash between the two sides.
Dec 3, 23:56
Phil Foden celebrates scoring for England against Wales with Jude Bellingham on November 29, 2022
World Cup 2022: Why to expect goals for England against Senegal
Ahead of Sunday's World Cup 2022 last-16 clash between England and Senegal, Sports Mole looks at why to expect goals from Gareth Southgate's side.
Dec 3, 19:24
Kalidou Koulibaly celebrates scoring their second goal with Senegal teammates on November 23, 2022
World Cup 2022: Reasons for Senegal to be confident of beating England
Sports Mole picks out three reasons for Senegal to be confident of beating England in Sunday's World Cup 2022 last-16 showdown.
Dec 3, 19:23
Phil Foden celebrates scoring for England against Wales with Jude Bellingham on November 29, 2022
World Cup 2022: Reasons for England to be confident of beating Senegal
Sports Mole picks out three reasons for England to be confident of beating Senegal in Sunday's World Cup 2022 last-16 showdown.
Dec 3, 19:22
England's Harry Kane celebrates after the match on November 21, 2022
Harry Kane out to break England assist record against Senegal
Tottenham Hotspur's Harry Kane is aiming to break an England assist record when the Three Lions take on Senegal in Sunday's World Cup 2022 last-16 battle.
Dec 3, 18:53
Senegal forward Famara Diedhiou celebrates scoring against Qatar in their World Cup game on November 25, 2022.
How Senegal could line up against England
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Senegal could line up for Sunday's World Cup clash with England.
Dec 2, 21:57
Marcus Rashford celebrates scoring for England against Wales on November 29, 2022
How England could line up against Senegal
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how England could line up for Sunday's World Cup clash with Senegal.
Dec 2, 21:32
rhs 2.0
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