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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burton Albion win with a probability of 49.85%. A win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 25.35% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burton Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.51%) and 2-0 (8.84%). The likeliest Cheltenham Town win was 0-1 (7.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Burton Albion in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Burton Albion.
Result | ||
Burton Albion | Draw | Cheltenham Town |
49.85% ( 0.03) | 24.8% ( -0) | 25.35% ( -0.03) |
Both teams to score 52.79% ( -0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.39% ( -0.02) | 49.6% ( 0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.37% ( -0.02) | 71.62% ( 0.02) |
Burton Albion Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.08% ( 0) | 19.92% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.94% ( 0.01) | 52.05% ( -0.01) |
Cheltenham Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.92% ( -0.04) | 34.08% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.24% ( -0.04) | 70.76% ( 0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Burton Albion | Draw | Cheltenham Town |
1-0 @ 10.95% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.51% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.84% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.12% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.75% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.75% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.06% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.92% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.11% ( -0) Other @ 2.83% Total : 49.84% | 1-1 @ 11.78% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.79% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.12% ( -0) 3-3 @ 0.99% ( -0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.79% | 0-1 @ 7.31% ( -0) 1-2 @ 6.35% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 3.93% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.28% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.84% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.41% ( -0) Other @ 2.24% Total : 25.35% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 39 | 23 | 11 | 5 | 67 | 31 | 36 | 80 |
2 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 38 | 24 | 8 | 6 | 67 | 41 | 26 | 80 |
3 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 38 | 22 | 12 | 4 | 74 | 31 | 43 | 78 |
4 | Barnsley | 38 | 23 | 6 | 9 | 66 | 34 | 32 | 75 |
5 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 38 | 18 | 10 | 10 | 52 | 31 | 21 | 64 |
6 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 39 | 20 | 4 | 15 | 65 | 47 | 18 | 64 |
7 | Derby CountyDerby | 39 | 18 | 10 | 11 | 59 | 41 | 18 | 64 |
8 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 39 | 18 | 8 | 13 | 53 | 38 | 15 | 62 |
9 | Portsmouth | 39 | 16 | 13 | 10 | 54 | 44 | 10 | 61 |
10 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 38 | 16 | 7 | 15 | 47 | 47 | 0 | 55 |
11 | Exeter CityExeter | 39 | 14 | 11 | 14 | 58 | 51 | 7 | 53 |
12 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 39 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 59 | 50 | 9 | 52 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 39 | 12 | 14 | 13 | 43 | 41 | 2 | 50 |
14 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 38 | 9 | 19 | 10 | 35 | 41 | -6 | 46 |
15 | Bristol Rovers | 37 | 12 | 9 | 16 | 50 | 60 | -10 | 45 |
16 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 39 | 12 | 9 | 18 | 34 | 49 | -15 | 45 |
17 | Port Vale | 39 | 12 | 9 | 18 | 40 | 57 | -17 | 45 |
18 | Burton Albion | 37 | 11 | 9 | 17 | 47 | 70 | -23 | 42 |
19 | MK Dons | 39 | 11 | 7 | 21 | 36 | 56 | -20 | 40 |
20 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 39 | 49 | -10 | 38 |
21 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 38 | 8 | 11 | 19 | 30 | 63 | -33 | 35 |
22 | Morecambe | 40 | 7 | 13 | 20 | 37 | 68 | -31 | 34 |
23 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 38 | 9 | 6 | 23 | 30 | 59 | -29 | 33 |
24 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 39 | 6 | 8 | 25 | 29 | 72 | -43 | 26 |
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