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Barnsley
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Bristol Rovers
Burton Albion
Cambridge United
Charlton Athletic
Cheltenham Town
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Exeter City
Fleetwood Town
Forest Green Rovers
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Lincoln City
MK Dons
Morecambe
Oxford United
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Port Vale
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Shrewsbury Town
Wycombe Wanderers
Oct 22, 2022 at 3pm UK at Pirelli Stadium
Burton Albion
1 - 0
Cheltenham
Adeboyejo (77')
Taylor (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Perry (68'), Jackson (90+5')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Burton Albion and Cheltenham Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Burton Albion 2-0 Cheltenham Town

With the Cheltenham defence being easy to break down in their previous two fixtures, it is likely that Burton will find a way through and with the better form coming into this game, we would expect them to take the three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burton Albion win with a probability of 49.85%. A win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 25.35% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burton Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.51%) and 2-0 (8.84%). The likeliest Cheltenham Town win was 0-1 (7.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Burton Albion in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Burton Albion.

Result
Burton AlbionDrawCheltenham Town
49.85% (0.033000000000001 0.03) 24.8% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 25.35% (-0.029999999999998 -0.03)
Both teams to score 52.79% (-0.028000000000006 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.39% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)49.6% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.37% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)71.62% (0.019000000000005 0.02)
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.08% (0.0040000000000049 0)19.92% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.94% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)52.05% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Cheltenham Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.92% (-0.036999999999992 -0.04)34.08% (0.037000000000006 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.24% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)70.76% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Burton Albion 49.84%
    Cheltenham Town 25.35%
    Draw 24.79%
Burton AlbionDrawCheltenham Town
1-0 @ 10.95% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.51% (0.0010000000000012 0)
2-0 @ 8.84% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.12% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 4.75% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.75% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 2.06% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1.92% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.11% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 49.84%
1-1 @ 11.78% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.79% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-2 @ 5.12% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-3 @ 0.99% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 24.79%
0-1 @ 7.31% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-2 @ 6.35% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.93% (-0.004 -0)
1-3 @ 2.28% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 1.84% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 1.41% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 25.35%

How you voted: Burton Albion vs Cheltenham

Burton Albion
100%
Draw
0.0%
Cheltenham Town
0.0%
6
Head to Head
Jan 8, 2022 3pm
Cheltenham
1-1
Burton Albion
Wright (21')
Blair (16')
Jebbison (51')
Oshilaja (64'), Hamer (78')
Aug 27, 2021 7.45pm
Feb 7, 2015 3pm
Cheltenham
1-3
Burton Albion
Burns (55')
Brown (45')
Beavon (21'), McGurk (36'), Edwards (49')
Weir (81')
Sep 27, 2014 3pm
Jan 11, 2014 3pm
rhs 2.0
Todays Game Header Right
Result
Alcaraz
Sinner
77 4 2
64 6 6
Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds392311567313680
2Plymouth ArgylePlymouth38248667412680
3Ipswich TownIpswich382212474314378
4Barnsley38236966343275
5Bolton WanderersBolton3818101052312164
6Peterborough UnitedPeterborough392041565471864
7Derby CountyDerby3918101159411864
8Wycombe WanderersWycombe391881353381562
9Portsmouth3916131054441061
10Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury38167154747055
11Exeter CityExeter391411145851753
12Charlton AthleticCharlton391313135950952
13Fleetwood TownFleetwood391214134341250
14Lincoln CityLincoln38919103541-646
15Bristol Rovers37129165060-1045
16Cheltenham TownCheltenham39129183449-1545
17Port Vale39129184057-1745
18Burton Albion37119174770-2342
19MK Dons39117213656-2040
20Oxford UnitedOxford Utd38911183949-1038
21Accrington StanleyAccrington38811193063-3335
22Morecambe40713203768-3134
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge3896233059-2933
24Forest Green RoversForest Green3968252972-4326

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