Home > Football > League One
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 45.56%. A win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 28.86% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.17%) and 0-2 (8%). The likeliest Cheltenham Town win was 1-0 (8.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Cheltenham Town | Draw | Bolton Wanderers |
28.86% ( 2.15) | 25.59% ( -0.13) | 45.56% ( -2.01) |
Both teams to score 53.09% ( 1.94) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.48% ( 1.81) | 50.53% ( -1.8) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.55% ( 1.58) | 72.45% ( -1.57) |
Cheltenham Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.2% ( 2.62) | 31.81% ( -2.61) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.76% ( 2.9) | 68.24% ( -2.89) |
Bolton Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.85% ( -0.15) | 22.15% ( 0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.46% ( -0.23) | 55.54% ( 0.24) |
Score Analysis |
Cheltenham Town | Draw | Bolton Wanderers |
1-0 @ 8.07% ( -0) 2-1 @ 6.97% ( 0.45) 2-0 @ 4.62% ( 0.32) 3-1 @ 2.66% ( 0.34) 3-2 @ 2.01% ( 0.25) 3-0 @ 1.77% ( 0.23) Other @ 2.76% Total : 28.86% | 1-1 @ 12.16% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 7.05% ( -0.53) 2-2 @ 5.25% ( 0.31) 3-3 @ 1.01% ( 0.12) Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.58% | 0-1 @ 10.61% ( -0.85) 1-2 @ 9.17% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 8% ( -0.68) 1-3 @ 4.61% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 4.02% ( -0.36) 2-3 @ 2.64% ( 0.15) 1-4 @ 1.74% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 1.52% ( -0.14) 2-4 @ 0.99% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.26% Total : 45.55% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Portsmouth | 27 | 15 | 8 | 4 | 42 | 25 | 17 | 53 |
2 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 26 | 15 | 7 | 4 | 52 | 28 | 24 | 52 |
3 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 24 | 16 | 3 | 5 | 45 | 24 | 21 | 51 |
4 | Derby CountyDerby | 25 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 47 | 24 | 23 | 49 |
5 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 26 | 15 | 4 | 7 | 45 | 30 | 15 | 49 |
6 | Barnsley | 25 | 13 | 7 | 5 | 48 | 29 | 19 | 46 |
7 | Stevenage | 26 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 38 | 25 | 13 | 46 |
8 | Blackpool | 27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 44 | 32 | 12 | 42 |
9 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 26 | 11 | 4 | 11 | 32 | 34 | -2 | 37 |
10 | Leyton Orient | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 28 | 31 | -3 | 35 |
11 | Bristol Rovers | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 35 | 35 | 0 | 34 |
12 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 30 | 30 | 0 | 33 |
13 | Port Vale | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 28 | 38 | -10 | 31 |
14 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 40 | 39 | 1 | 30 |
15 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 30 | 35 | -5 | 30 |
16 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 25 | 8 | 6 | 11 | 23 | 33 | -10 | 30 |
17 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 27 | 9 | 3 | 15 | 17 | 37 | -20 | 30 |
18 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 36 | 31 | 5 | 28 |
19 | Burton Albion | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 21 | 35 | -14 | 28 |
20 | Exeter CityExeter | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 18 | 39 | -21 | 26 |
21 | Reading | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 34 | 41 | -7 | 24 |
22 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 25 | 6 | 5 | 14 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 23 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 27 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 22 | 41 | -19 | 20 |
24 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 26 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 23 | 47 | -24 | 18 |
> League One Full Table |