Form, Standings, Stats
Tuesday, November 22 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Tuesday, November 15 at 7.45pm in National League South
for
We said: Burton Albion 1-0 Chippenham Town
Sunday sees League One's worst defence host National League South's worst attack in what promises to be a nervy match for both sets of supporters. Chippenham Town have already shown they can defeat third-tier opposition in the FA Cup this season but the Pirelli Stadium is likely to be where their cup adventure ends. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burton Albion win with a probability of 62.46%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Chippenham Town had a probability of 17.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burton Albion win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.65%) and 1-0 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.34%), while for a Chippenham Town win it was 1-2 (4.8%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Burton Albion would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Burton Albion | Draw | Chippenham Town |
62.46% ( 0.11) | 20.14% ( 0.02) | 17.4% ( -0.14) |
| Both teams to score 56.54% ( -0.38) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
