Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 49.52%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 24.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.64%) and 2-1 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.36%), while for a Fleetwood Town win it was 0-1 (8.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Oxford United in this match.
