Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fleetwood Town win with a probability of 41.76%. A win for Oxford United had a probability of 32.32% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fleetwood Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.8%) and 2-0 (7.18%). The likeliest Oxford United win was 0-1 (8.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fleetwood Town would win this match.
