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Oxford United
FA Cup | Third Round
Jan 9, 2023 at 8pm UK
The Kassam Stadium
Arsenal logo
Oxford Utd
0 - 3
Arsenal

Brown (59')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Elneny (63'), Nketiah (70', 76')
The Match
Match Report
Eddie Nketiah scores twice as Arsenal see off Oxford United 3-0 in the third round of the FA Cup.
Team News
Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Monday's FA Cup clash between Oxford United and Arsenal.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Monday's FA Cup clash between Oxford United and Arsenal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Predicted Lineups
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Arsenal could line up for Monday's FA Cup third-round clash with Oxford United.
Injuries & Suspensions
Sports Mole rounds up all of Arsenal's latest injury and suspension news ahead of Monday's FA Cup clash with Oxford United.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Oxford Utd 0-1 Exeter
Sunday, January 1 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Arsenal 0-0 Newcastle
Tuesday, January 3 at 7.45pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 52.67%. A win for Oxford United had a probability of 24.36% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.17%) and 0-2 (8.35%). The likeliest Oxford United win was 2-1 (6.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.7%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arsenal would win this match.

Result
Oxford UnitedDrawArsenal
24.36% (2.362 2.36) 22.97% (0.865 0.87) 52.67% (-3.23 -3.23)
Both teams to score 57.75% (0.055 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.44% (-1.32 -1.32)42.56% (1.319 1.32)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.03% (-1.329 -1.33)64.97% (1.327 1.33)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.9% (1.315 1.32)31.1% (-1.317 -1.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.57% (1.508 1.51)67.43% (-1.51 -1.51)
Arsenal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.82% (-1.554 -1.55)16.18% (1.552 1.55)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.34% (-2.903 -2.9)45.65% (2.899 2.9)
Score Analysis
    Oxford United 24.36%
    Arsenal 52.67%
    Draw 22.97%
Oxford UnitedDrawArsenal
2-1 @ 6.25% (0.468 0.47)
1-0 @ 5.88% (0.535 0.54)
2-0 @ 3.43% (0.423 0.42)
3-1 @ 2.43% (0.262 0.26)
3-2 @ 2.22% (0.129 0.13)
3-0 @ 1.34% (0.206 0.21)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 24.36%
1-1 @ 10.7% (0.43 0.43)
2-2 @ 5.69% (0.134 0.13)
0-0 @ 5.03% (0.29 0.29)
3-3 @ 1.35% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 22.97%
1-2 @ 9.75% (-0.12 -0.12)
0-1 @ 9.17% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
0-2 @ 8.35% (-0.415 -0.41)
1-3 @ 5.92% (-0.404 -0.4)
0-3 @ 5.07% (-0.545 -0.55)
2-3 @ 3.46% (-0.105 -0.11)
1-4 @ 2.7% (-0.343 -0.34)
0-4 @ 2.31% (-0.39 -0.39)
2-4 @ 1.57% (-0.137 -0.14)
1-5 @ 0.98% (-0.186 -0.19)
Other @ 3.41%
Total : 52.67%

How you voted: Oxford Utd vs Arsenal

Oxford United
14.0%
Draw
6.5%
Arsenal
79.6%
186
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Manchester CityMan City34264489315882
2Arsenal34246481394278
3Newcastle UnitedNewcastle331811461273465
4Manchester UnitedMan Utd3319684940963
5Liverpool35188967422562
6Tottenham HotspurSpurs35176126457757
7Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton32167962402255
8Aston Villa35166134643354
9Brentford35121495245750
10Fulham34136154546-145
11Chelsea34119143439-542
12Crystal Palace351010153546-1140
13Wolverhampton WanderersWolves35117173050-2040
14Bournemouth35116183767-3039
15West Ham UnitedWest Ham3497183750-1334
16Leicester CityLeicester3486204659-1330
17Leeds UnitedLeeds3579194469-2530
18Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3479183062-3230
19Everton34611172752-2529
20Southampton3466222860-3224

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