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League One | Gameweek 27
Jan 14, 2023 at 3pm UK
Portman Road Stadium
Plymouth Argyle
Ipswich
1 - 1
Plymouth
Burns (63')
Burns (11'), Hirst (87')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Mumba (90+3')
Wilson (38')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Ipswich Town and Plymouth Argyle, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Ipswich Town 0-0 Plymouth Argyle

Plymouth drew their last League One away game 0-0 against fifth-placed Bolton Wanderers, and so a similar result should be expected on Saturday, with very little separating the two teams. That result is likely to suit the visitors far more than the hosts, as it would maintain Argyle's seven-point lead over Ipswich, setting them up nicely for an easier game at home to Cheltenham next weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 67.24%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 13.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.53%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.28%), while for a Plymouth Argyle win it was 0-1 (4.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Ipswich TownDrawPlymouth Argyle
67.24% (0.194 0.19) 19.51% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08) 13.25% (-0.119 -0.12)
Both teams to score 48.45% (-0.064 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.38% (0.085999999999999 0.09)44.62% (-0.090000000000003 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.01% (0.082000000000001 0.08)66.99% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)
Ipswich Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.69% (0.079999999999998 0.08)12.31% (-0.083 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.91% (0.169 0.17)38.09% (-0.172 -0.17)
Plymouth Argyle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.25% (-0.126 -0.13)44.75% (0.123 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.26% (-0.104 -0.1)80.73% (0.099999999999994 0.1)
Score Analysis
    Ipswich Town 67.22%
    Plymouth Argyle 13.25%
    Draw 19.51%
Ipswich TownDrawPlymouth Argyle
2-0 @ 12.08% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
1-0 @ 11.53% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.72% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-0 @ 8.44% (0.046999999999999 0.05)
3-1 @ 6.79% (0.015 0.01)
4-0 @ 4.42% (0.038 0.04)
4-1 @ 3.55% (0.019 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.73% (-0.004 -0)
5-0 @ 1.85% (0.022 0.02)
5-1 @ 1.49% (0.012 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.43% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 67.22%
1-1 @ 9.28% (-0.038 -0.04)
0-0 @ 5.51% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-2 @ 3.91% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 19.51%
0-1 @ 4.43% (-0.032 -0.03)
1-2 @ 3.73% (-0.028 -0.03)
0-2 @ 1.78% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.05% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 1.27%
Total : 13.25%

How you voted: Ipswich vs Plymouth

Ipswich Town
37.5%
Draw
18.8%
Plymouth Argyle
43.8%
32
Head to Head
Sep 25, 2022 12.30pm
Mar 26, 2022 3pm
Oct 30, 2021 3pm
Plymouth
2-1
Ipswich
Jephcott (44'), Grant (50')
Garrick (75')
Edmundson (14')
Edmundson (22'), Chaplin (26'), Morsy (56'), Nsiala (75')
Mar 13, 2021 3pm
Dec 5, 2020 3pm
Plymouth
1-2
Ipswich
Jephcott (14')
Mayor (52'), Nouble (71'), Watts (79')
Mayor (71')
Nolan (73'), Jackson (74')
McGavin (50'), Cornell (90+2')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Portsmouth15105025101535
2Oxford UnitedOxford Utd1492326141229
3Bolton WanderersBolton149232718929
4Peterborough UnitedPeterborough158432516928
5Barnsley1583431151627
6Stevenage167542217526
7Blackpool156542119223
8Lincoln CityLincoln146441914522
9Derby CountyDerby146352115621
10Wycombe WanderersWycombe146352223-121
11Burton Albion165561619-320
12Leyton Orient155551418-420
13Bristol Rovers145452019119
14Cambridge UnitedCambridge155461315-219
15Charlton AthleticCharlton145362219318
16Port Vale155371223-1118
17Exeter CityExeter155281219-717
18Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury15528718-1117
19Wigan AthleticWigan147162117414
20Northampton TownNorthampton144281517-214
21Carlisle UnitedCarlisle163581319-614
22Fleetwood TownFleetwood143381222-1012
23Cheltenham TownCheltenham152211624-188
24Reading1431101224-126

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