Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 46.03%. A win for MK Dons had a probability of 27.99% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.13%) and 2-0 (8.36%). The likeliest MK Dons win was 0-1 (8.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oxford United would win this match.
