Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Harrogate Town win with a probability of 44.56%. A win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 29.08% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Harrogate Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.96%) and 2-0 (8.13%). The likeliest Grimsby Town win was 0-1 (8.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Harrogate Town in this match.
