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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 44.75%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Walsall had a probability of 27.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.75%) and 2-1 (8.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.91%), while for a Walsall win it was 0-1 (9.65%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Carlisle United | Draw | Walsall |
44.75% ( 0.31) | 27.64% ( 0.01) | 27.61% ( -0.32) |
Both teams to score 46.28% ( -0.22) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.06% ( -0.19) | 58.94% ( 0.19) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.58% ( -0.15) | 79.42% ( 0.15) |
Carlisle United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.76% ( 0.07) | 26.24% ( -0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.65% ( 0.09) | 61.35% ( -0.1) |
Walsall Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.74% ( -0.37) | 37.26% ( 0.37) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.95% ( -0.36) | 74.04% ( 0.36) |
Score Analysis |
Carlisle United | Draw | Walsall |
1-0 @ 13.08% ( 0.12) 2-0 @ 8.75% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 8.64% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.9% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 3.85% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.9% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.31% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.29% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.03% Total : 44.75% | 1-1 @ 12.91% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.78% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 4.26% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.68% Total : 27.63% | 0-1 @ 9.65% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 6.38% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 4.77% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 2.1% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 1.57% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.4% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.75% Total : 27.61% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Leyton Orient | 40 | 23 | 12 | 5 | 54 | 27 | 27 | 81 |
2 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 41 | 20 | 13 | 8 | 55 | 38 | 17 | 73 |
3 | Stockport CountyStockport | 41 | 20 | 10 | 11 | 57 | 33 | 24 | 70 |
4 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 41 | 19 | 13 | 9 | 60 | 37 | 23 | 70 |
5 | Stevenage | 40 | 19 | 13 | 8 | 54 | 37 | 17 | 70 |
6 | Bradford CityBradford | 40 | 18 | 14 | 8 | 51 | 35 | 16 | 68 |
7 | Salford City | 41 | 19 | 9 | 13 | 64 | 48 | 16 | 66 |
8 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 40 | 18 | 11 | 11 | 64 | 49 | 15 | 65 |
9 | BarrowBarrow | 41 | 18 | 7 | 16 | 46 | 47 | -1 | 61 |
10 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 41 | 15 | 12 | 14 | 42 | 45 | -3 | 57 |
11 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 41 | 14 | 11 | 16 | 39 | 42 | -3 | 53 |
12 | Swindon TownSwindon | 40 | 13 | 12 | 15 | 52 | 50 | 2 | 51 |
13 | Walsall | 41 | 11 | 18 | 12 | 42 | 40 | 2 | 51 |
14 | Grimsby Town | 40 | 13 | 12 | 15 | 44 | 51 | -7 | 51 |
15 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 41 | 15 | 6 | 20 | 41 | 57 | -16 | 51 |
16 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 40 | 11 | 15 | 14 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 48 |
17 | AFC Wimbledon | 42 | 11 | 14 | 17 | 45 | 51 | -6 | 47 |
18 | Newport CountyNewport | 40 | 11 | 14 | 15 | 41 | 47 | -6 | 47 |
19 | Gillingham | 41 | 12 | 11 | 18 | 29 | 44 | -15 | 47 |
20 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 41 | 10 | 12 | 19 | 39 | 47 | -8 | 42 |
21 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 40 | 9 | 14 | 17 | 47 | 59 | -12 | 41 |
22 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 41 | 8 | 15 | 18 | 48 | 70 | -22 | 39 |
23 | Crawley TownCrawley | 41 | 9 | 11 | 21 | 43 | 68 | -25 | 38 |
24 | Rochdale | 41 | 8 | 9 | 24 | 39 | 62 | -23 | 33 |
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