Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bradford City win with a probability of 38.37%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 33.45% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bradford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.98%) and 0-2 (7.2%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 1-0 (10.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.