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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 36.75%. A win for Bradford City had a probability of 34.82% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.73%) and 2-0 (6.87%). The likeliest Bradford City win was 0-1 (11.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Newport County | Draw | Bradford City |
36.75% ( 0.13) | 28.43% ( -0.02) | 34.82% ( -0.11) |
Both teams to score 46.48% ( 0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
40.14% ( 0.05) | 59.86% ( -0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
19.87% ( 0.04) | 80.13% ( -0.04) |
Newport County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.8% ( 0.1) | 31.2% ( -0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.46% ( 0.12) | 67.54% ( -0.13) |
Bradford City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.56% ( -0.04) | 32.44% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.04% ( -0.05) | 68.96% ( 0.05) |
Score Analysis |
Newport County | Draw | Bradford City |
1-0 @ 11.78% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 7.73% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 6.87% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 3% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 2.67% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.69% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.01% Total : 36.74% | 1-1 @ 13.27% 0-0 @ 10.12% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.35% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.69% Total : 28.43% | 0-1 @ 11.39% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 7.47% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 6.41% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 2.8% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.41% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.63% Other @ 2.7% Total : 34.81% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Leyton Orient | 41 | 24 | 12 | 5 | 56 | 27 | 29 | 84 |
2 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 42 | 20 | 14 | 8 | 55 | 38 | 17 | 74 |
3 | Stevenage | 41 | 20 | 13 | 8 | 56 | 38 | 18 | 73 |
4 | Stockport CountyStockport | 42 | 20 | 11 | 11 | 58 | 34 | 24 | 71 |
5 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 42 | 19 | 14 | 9 | 60 | 37 | 23 | 71 |
6 | Bradford CityBradford | 41 | 19 | 14 | 8 | 54 | 35 | 19 | 71 |
7 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 41 | 18 | 12 | 11 | 65 | 50 | 15 | 66 |
8 | Salford City | 42 | 19 | 9 | 14 | 64 | 49 | 15 | 66 |
9 | BarrowBarrow | 42 | 18 | 8 | 16 | 46 | 47 | -1 | 62 |
10 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 42 | 15 | 12 | 15 | 42 | 47 | -5 | 57 |
11 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 42 | 14 | 11 | 17 | 40 | 44 | -4 | 53 |
12 | Swindon TownSwindon | 41 | 13 | 13 | 15 | 52 | 50 | 2 | 52 |
13 | Grimsby Town | 41 | 13 | 13 | 15 | 45 | 52 | -7 | 52 |
14 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 42 | 15 | 7 | 20 | 43 | 59 | -16 | 52 |
15 | Walsall | 42 | 11 | 18 | 13 | 42 | 42 | 0 | 51 |
16 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 41 | 12 | 15 | 14 | 41 | 51 | -10 | 51 |
17 | Newport CountyNewport | 41 | 12 | 14 | 15 | 43 | 47 | -4 | 50 |
18 | Gillingham | 42 | 12 | 12 | 18 | 30 | 45 | -15 | 48 |
19 | AFC Wimbledon | 43 | 11 | 14 | 18 | 46 | 53 | -7 | 47 |
20 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 42 | 11 | 12 | 19 | 40 | 47 | -7 | 45 |
21 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 41 | 9 | 15 | 17 | 49 | 61 | -12 | 42 |
22 | Crawley TownCrawley | 42 | 10 | 11 | 21 | 45 | 69 | -24 | 41 |
23 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 42 | 8 | 15 | 19 | 48 | 72 | -24 | 39 |
24 | Rochdale | 42 | 8 | 9 | 25 | 39 | 65 | -26 | 33 |
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