Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bradford City win with a probability of 39.51%. A win for Newport County had a probability of 31.3% and a draw had a probability of 29.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bradford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.81%) and 2-0 (7.76%). The likeliest Newport County win was 0-1 (11.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.
