Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 37.97%. A win for Tranmere Rovers had a probability of 34.46% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.09%) and 2-0 (6.92%). The likeliest Tranmere Rovers win was 0-1 (10.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Newport County in this match.
