Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 41.35%. A win for Mansfield Town had a probability of 30.02% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.13%) and 2-0 (8.11%). The likeliest Mansfield Town win was 0-1 (10.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newport County would win this match.
