We said: Aston Villa 2-1 Leeds United
Villa have been busy boosting their squad while Leeds' medical staff continue to welcome new faces into the treatment room, which does not bode well at all for Bielsa.
We would not put it past the Whites to make the net ripple even without Bamford leading the charge, but Villa's upwards momentum should continue with a hard-fought three points on their own turf.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 38.4%. A win for Leeds United had a probability of 34.31% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.2%) and 2-0 (6.93%). The likeliest Leeds United win was 0-1 (10.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.
